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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Top seed Alexander Zverev ended the reign of defending champion Alexei Popyrin in the last round. That took him through to the outdoor hard court Canadian Open semi-finals and he now takes on 11th seed Karen Khachanov for a place in the final. Here's our match prediction.
Zverev had to come from a set down to defeat Popyrin and reach the last four of this Masters tournament for the first time since winning the title in 2017. That was his second three-setter of the tournament after going the distance against Matteo Arnaldi.
The German is third in both the live rankings and the ATP Race. This is his second hard court semi-final of 2025, the other being in the Australian Open where he was runner-up.
Karen Khachanov trails his opponent 5-2 in previous meetings and 3-1 on this surface. Those three losses have come in their most recent meetings and Khachanov failed to win a set in any of those matches.
Monday saw Khachanov defeat Alex Michelsen in straight sets. This is his best run on hard courts in 2025, previously never having made it past round three. Only nine matches have been won on this surface by the 29-year-old this year. He's up to 13th in the live rankings.
We tip Zverev to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Zverev v Karen Khachanov Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 3 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.1 |
|
|
1.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
1.37 | 3.1 |
|
|
1.37 | 2.9 |
|
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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov match is: Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov game on 06/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Alexander Zverev has a 59.77% chance to win against Karen Khachanov according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.42.
- Karen Khachanov has a 40.23% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 3.12 at 22bet.
Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 59.77 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 59.77 % |
| Karen Khachanov | 40.23 % |
Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Form
Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
4 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
21 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
8 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
15 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
1 Aug 2021 - Olympic Tournament
2 Nov 2018 - Rolex Paris Masters
Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov Key Points
- Khachanov has lost his last three matches against Zverev, all on hard courts.
- Zverev won each of those three matches without dropping a set.
- Only two players have earned more ranking points than Zverev this year.
- Khachanov is in his first hard court semi-final since October 2024.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Alexander Zverev can end his long wait for another Canadian Open final. He's only played in one and that was eight years ago when winning the title. The German has had a couple of hard battles so far in this tournament
Karen Khachanov has struggled for consistency on hard courts this year. His record on this surface against Zverev is poor with no sets won in their last three meetings. Our Alexander Zverev v Karen Khachanov prediction is Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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