Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can wild card Juncheng Shang knock out the top seed Alexander Zverev. They meet in the second round of the outdoor hard court China Open in Beijing. Zverev is in top form, but he does tend to play some long sets and our prediction here is more than 9.5 games in set one.
The winner will face either sixth seed Novak Djokovic or wild card Bu Yunchaokete in the quarter-finals.
Alexander Zverev has earned more ranking points this year than any other player. After waiting years for his maiden Grand Slam title, he's won Roland Garros and the US Open this year. On outdoor hard courts, the German has won 25 of his 32 matches played in 2026 with 57 wins on all surfaces.
Round one in Beijing saw him beat Cameron Norrie in straight sets.
That included a first set tie-break. The opening set in three of his last five matches has seen more than 9.5 games played.
Juncheng Shang is down at 250 in the rankings, 248 places below his opponent.
The Chinese player has only won six of his 15 outdoor hard court matches played this year.
Round one saw him defeat Sebastian Baez after losing the first set.
More than 9.5 games have been played in set one in four of his last six matches.
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Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.07 | 8 |
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1.09 | 8.65 |
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1.07 | 8.5 |
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1.07 | 8.5 |
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1.06 | 10 |
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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang match is: more than 9.5 games in set one.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang game on 03/10/2026 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:
- Alexander Zverev has a 84.8% chance to win against Juncheng Shang according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.09.
- Juncheng Shang has a 15.2% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 10 at Bet365.
Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 84.8 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 84.8 % |
| Juncheng Shang | 15.2 % |
Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Form
Alexander Zverev and Juncheng Shang Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
19 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
13 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
11 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
9 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
7 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
6 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Alexander Zverev - Juncheng Shang Key Points
- Zverev has played more than 9.5 games in the first set in three of his last five matches.
- The last two matches Zverev has played have seen a tie-break in the opening set.
- Shang has played more than 9.5 games in set one in four of his last six matches.
- In those four matches, three have been either 7-5 or 7-6.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Prediction
Alexander Zverev has won his last eight matches in singles tournaments. The impressive run has seen him win the US Open and he is the top seed in this tournament in Beijing. His last two matches have both seen a 7-6 opening set, rather than a dominating start.
Juncheng Shang has been a lot higher in the rankings, but his career has been blighted by injuries. He is nowhere near as consistent as he was at one stage in his career. Our Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang prediction is more than 9.5 games in set one.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.