Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik ATP 22
11/10/2026 03:30
Brandon Nakashima USA
Brandon Nakashima ATP 19

Prediction :

 

Brandon Nakashima wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

16th seed Brandon Nakashima takes on 19th-seeded Alexander Bublik in round three of the Shanghai Masters. This is an outdoor hard court tournament and Nakashima has been in good form on this surface in 2026. That has led us to make a prediction that Nakashima will win this match and reach the last 16.

For the winner, there's a fourth round match against either top seed Alexander Zverev or unseeded Quentin Halys.

Brandon Nakashima beat Matteo Berrettini in straight sets in his opening match in this Masters tournament. He won that 7-6 7-5 

He has won 23 of his 34 outdoor hard court matches this year with two finals reached and three other semi-final appearances.

Alexander Bublik has a 12-6 record on this surface in 2026. However, he won seven of his first eight outdoor hard court matches this year, winning the Hong Kong title and then reaching round four of the Australian Open. Since those good runs, this is only the third time he's reached round three of an outdoor hard court 

Recent tournaments have seen Bublik lose three successive matches (one indoors in the Laver Cup). 

That run ended in his opening match in Shanghai as he beat Tomas Machac 6-4 7-6.

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Alexander Bublik v Brandon Nakashima Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.21 1.68
1xbet
2.27 1.66
Melbet
2.25 1.65
Betwinner
2.25 1.65
22bet
2.25 1.65
Check all Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima odds

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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Brandon Nakashima wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima game on 11/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Alexander Bublik has a 43.61% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.27.
  • Brandon Nakashima has a 56.39% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.68 at Stake.

Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 43.61 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Bublik43.61 %
Brandon Nakashima56.39 %

Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Form

Alexander Bublik and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches

Alexander Bublik Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tomas Machac

1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  1
Jeffrey John Wolf

25 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Quentin Halys
Brandon Nakashima Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  3
Alex Michelsen

31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  0
Sebastian Baez

22 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

21 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima
Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Alexander Bublik - Brandon Nakashima Key Points

  1. Nakashima was four places above Bublik in the latest rankings.
  2. Nakashima has reached two ATP Tour outdoor hard court finals this year.
  3. Since January, Bublik has only reached the third round of an outdoor hard court tournament three times.
  4. Bublik has only won one of his last four matches.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Brandon Nakashima has been highly consistent on this surface in 2026. Five times this year he has made it to at least the semi-finals of an outdoor hard court. He beat Matteo Berrettini in two close sets in his opening match in this Shanghai Masters.

Alexander Bublik would love to recapture the form he showed in January on outdoor hard courts. He's struggled since winning the Hong Kong Open and reaching the last 16 of the Australian Open. Our Alexander Bublik v Brandon Nakashima prediction is Brandon Nakashima wins.

Prediction :

 

Brandon Nakashima wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.