ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Both of these players are attempting to reach a second successive last 16 in a Masters tournament. 28th seed Alex Michelsen faces seventh-seeded Holger Rune in round three of the outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open. Time for our match prediction.
In his most recent tournament, Michelsen made it to the last eight in Toronto. That was the first time the American had got past round three of a Masters event. He had a difficult start in this tournament, needing three sets to defeat Corentin Moutet after losing the first.
The 20-year-old is 31st in the live rankings, just one place below his career-high.
Holger Rune was a semi-finalist in this tournament last year. He didn't drop a set in his opening match this year but it took 118 minutes to beat Roman Safiullin 7-5 7-6. He lost in round four in Toronto to Alexei Popyrin. Rune is 12th in the live rankings, slipping three places with all the points to defend from 2024.
His best hard court performance this year has been getting to the Indian Wells final. He'll want to build up some good form ahead of the US Open where in four visits he's only got past round one once.
We tip over 21.5 games to be played here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alex Michelsen v Holger Rune Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
|
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2.3 | 1.6 |
|
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2.25 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.35 | 1.6 |
|
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Who will win the Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune match is: over 21.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune game on 11/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Alex Michelsen has a 45.38% chance to win against Holger Rune according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 2.41.
- Holger Rune has a 54.62% probability of winning facing Alex Michelsen ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at William Hill.
Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex Michelsen has a 45.38 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 45.38 % |
| Holger Rune | 54.62 % |
Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune Form
Alex Michelsen and Holger Rune Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
20 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Alex Michelsen - Holger Rune Key Points
- Five of Rune's last six best-of-three sets matches have had over 21.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would be great news for our prediction. Rune played two in his opening match in this tournament.
- Over 21.5 games have been played in four of Michelsen's last five matches.
- Three of Michelsen's last five matches have included either a 7-5 or 7-6 set.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Holger Rune Prediction
Alex Michelsen had an impressive run in Toronto in his last tournament, reaching the quarter-finals. He struggled to get past Corentin Moutet in his first match here but showed fighting spirit to come from a set down and win.
Holger Rune also had a tough opening match in Cincinnati. No sets were dropped but 25 games were needed in two sets to get the win 7-5 7-6. Our Alex Michelsen v Holger Rune prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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