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Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 89 France
Adrian Mannarino
12/08/2025 01:10
ATP 16 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction :

 

Tommy Paul to win in straight sets

1.8
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions

It was ten years ago when 13th seed Tommy Paul first played in the Cincinnati Open. A win over qualifier Adrian Mannarino will take him into the fourth round here for the first time. Here's our match prediction.

Only in 2023 has the American previously made it to the third round of this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Paul is 1-1 with Mannarino in previous matches with the Frenchman winning their only match on this surface.

This year has seen Paul reach two hard court semi-finals. He also got to the last eight in the Australian Open and round four at Indian Wells. This is his first tournament since Wimbledon and he's 14th in both the live rankings and ATP Race.

Adrian Mannarino has played four matches so far in this tournament. He made it through the qualifying rounds with two straight sets victories. In the main draw, the Frenchman has defeated Jordan Thompson and 19th seed Tomas Machac, again without dropping a set.

Mannarino is now 81st in the live rankings and only 98th in the ATP Race. The 37-year-old will want to repeat his best here of a quarter-final in 2023 but we feel this is the end of the road for him. We tip Paul to win in straight sets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Adrian Mannarino v Tommy Paul Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4 1.25
William Hill
4 1.25
Betway
4.25 1.22
Ladbrokes
3.9 1.22
Unibet
3.95 1.26
Check all Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul odds
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Who will win the Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul match is: Tommy Paul to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul game on 12/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:

  • Adrian Mannarino has a 41.4% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 4.25.
  • Tommy Paul has a 58.6% probability of winning facing Adrian Mannarino ⭐ with odds of 1.27 at 22bet.

Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adrian Mannarino has a 41.4 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Adrian Mannarino41.4 %
Tommy Paul58.6 %

Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Form

Adrian Mannarino and Tommy Paul Last Matches

Adrian Mannarino Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tomas Machac
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  0
Dalibor Svrcina

5 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  0
Mitchell Krueger

30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

28 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Marcos Giron
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino
Tommy Paul Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Sebastian Ofner
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Johannus Monday
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

25 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Daniel Evans
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

3 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Adrian Mannarino

50 %

Tommy Paul

50 %

28 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

29 Jun 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Tommy Paul
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino
Compare Adrian Mannarino and Tommy Paul with our comparison tool.

Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. Paul is 67 places ahead of Mannarino in the live rankings.
  2. Mannarino is over 80 places behind Paul in the ATP Live Race.
  3. Mannarino has only won eight of his 22 hard court matches played this year.
  4. This is the first time in 2025 that Mannarino has made it to round three of an ATP Tour hard court tournament.
  5. 2025 has seen Paul get to two ATP Tour hard court semi-finals.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Adrian Mannarino is in only his second ATP Tour third round of the year and the first on this surface. His deep runs in 2025 have come on the Challenger Tour which is a bit of a step down for a player who was ranked 17th in the world in 2024.

Tommy Paul has been enjoying a far more consistent 2025 making it to at least the quarter-finals of six ATP Tour tournaments, three on hard courts. He had a comfortable second round win and our Adrian Mannarino v Tommy Paul prediction is Tommy Paul to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Tommy Paul to win in straight sets

1.8
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul Prediction
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