Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Wildcard Arthur Gea has sailed through to the quarter-finals in Montpellier, where he is set to take on unseeded Adrian Mannarino. This is their first career meeting, and the winner faces Luca Nardi or Martin Damm for a place in the final. Read on for our prediction for this match.
Adrian Mannarino has equaled his best-ever performance in Montpellier and now seeks to reach the semis for the first time.
The veteran Frenchman, who is in his fourth appearance at the Open Sud de France, is coming off a hard-fought showdown with fifth seed Ugo Humbert.
Now up to 63rd in the live ranking, Mannarino edged a three-set thriller that lasted almost three hours.
Arthur Gea is having his best-ever performance at a tour event. The young Frenchman, who made his tour debut last season, has fought against the odds to reach this round.
Luck has also played a big part in his success. The 21-year-old has outlasted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Tomas Machac, though both matches ended prematurely due to injuries.
Gea, who has won 11 of 12 matches so far in 2026, was, however, ahead in each match before the disruptions. Making it to the last eight has catapulted Gea 14 places in the live ranking to 154th.
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Adrian Mannarino v Arthur Gea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.14 | 1.71 |
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2.14 | 1.71 |
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2.2 | 1.67 |
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2.14 | 1.64 |
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2.12 | 1.66 |
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Who will win the Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea match is: Arthur Gea wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea game on 06/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:
- Adrian Mannarino has a 29.02% chance to win against Arthur Gea according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
- Arthur Gea has a 70.98% probability of winning facing Adrian Mannarino ⭐ with odds of 1.71 at Melbet.
Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adrian Mannarino has a 29.02 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 29.02 % |
| Arthur Gea | 70.98 % |
Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Form
Adrian Mannarino and Arthur Gea Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
2 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
2 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
22 May 2025 - ATP French Open
Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea Key Points
- Gea has won 11 matches in 2026.
- On indoor hard courts, Gea has won 15 of his last 20 duels.
- Mannarino has suffered four losses in six outings this season.
- In his last nine outings on indoor hard courts, Mannarino has lost seven times.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Prediction
Our prediction for Adrian Mannarino v Arthur Gea is that Arthur Gea wins. Gea has been in fine form this season and has lost just once in 12 outings. Though he isn’t as experienced in the tour as Mannarino, this rich vein of form, coupled with Mannarino’s sluggishness, puts the Frenchman in a strong position.
Gea has also spent considerably less time on the courts in Montpellier than Mannarino and will be much fresher for this tie. It is also worth noting that Gea has improved significantly when out on indoor hard courts.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
