Portugal vs DR Congo Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Portugal
6/17/26 13:00
DR Congo

Prediction:

 

Portugal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

+100
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

Portugal’s 2026 World Cup campaign will begin on Wednesday afternoon. The 2016 European champions will begin their journey with a game against D.R Congo. 

Despite often having a team full of wonderfully gifted players, the Portuguese have never got their hands on the famous World Cup trophy, but in recent times, they’ve always competed, reaching the knockouts in four of the last five renewals, making it as far as the semis back in 2026. The D.R. Congo boys have never played at the World Cup with the nation in its current form, so this will be a first. 

Betting wise, ‘Portugal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ catches the eye. Make no mistake about it, the men coached by Roberto Martinez should be too good, but they won’t want to go all guns blazing early doors, while they’re up against a team that doesn’t concede too many goals.

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Portugal vs DR Congo Form

Portugal and DR Congo Latest Matches

Portugal
Portugal Latest matches
L W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 10, 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Nigeria

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Chile

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
9 :  1
Armenia

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
2 :  0
Portugal
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 10, 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Nigeria

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  1
Chile

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
9 :  1
Armenia

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
2 :  2
Hungary

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
1 :  0
Ireland

Jun 8, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  2
Spain
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
2 :  0
Portugal

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Hungary
2 :  3
Portugal

Sep 6, 2025 - World Cup

Armenia
0 :  5
Portugal

Jun 4, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  2
Portugal
DR Congo
DR Congo Latest matches
D W L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
1 :  2
Chile

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Denmark
0 :  0
DR Congo

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

DR Congo
1 :  0
Jamaica

Jan 6, 2026 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
DR Congo

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Botswana
0 :  3
DR Congo

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
1 :  2
Chile

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

DR Congo
1 :  0
Jamaica

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  0
Benin

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
2 :  0
Zambia

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
1 :  0
Sudan

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
2 :  3
Senegal
W D D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Denmark
0 :  0
DR Congo

Jan 6, 2026 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
DR Congo

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Botswana
0 :  3
DR Congo

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Cameroon
0 :  1
DR Congo

Portugal - DR Congo: Form Analysis

Ranked as the fifth-best in the world, the Portuguese head into this competition off the back of some pleasing results. They began 2026 with a slightly subdued tie against the Mexicans but have since stepped on the gas, beating another of the co-hosts (USA) by two goals to zero back in April, before defeating Chile 2-1. That victory against the South Americans was followed by a 2-1 win against Nigeria. They haven’t been perfect, but they know how to grind out results, which is key at major tournaments. 

They haven’t been perfect, but they know how to grind out results, which is key at major tournaments. 

D.R. Congo have not flourished in the build up to this World Cup, not at all. Sure, they made it through that final play-off against the Jamaicans, but they weren’t exactly impressive in doing so, and they’ve since struggled to get going, especially in the final third. Sebastien Desabre’s men held Denmark to a 0-0 tie, which wasn’t bad, but they lost against a Chilean side that failed to qualify for this tournament last time out, which isn’t exactly a positive sign ahead of a big game against the Portuguese.

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Portugal & DR Congo Squad Analysis

Portugal boss Roberto Martinez picked what most people would consider to be his strongest Xi for the final warm-up game against Nigeria. We should see a similar lineup here. Veteran Cristiano Ronaldo is expected to spearhead an offense also containing Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes and Trincao. If anybody is likely to come in, then it’s Francisco Conceicao, who scored as a substitute most recently.

We should see a similar lineup here. Veteran Cristiano Ronaldo is expected to spearhead an offense also containing Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes and Trincao.

After his side delivered a decent display against the Danes, Sebastien Desabre mixed it up a little against Chile, but that didn’t exactly work, so he may revert to the lineup that kept a clean sheet in the penultimate warm-up fixture. Cedric Bakambu could be back in attack, while midfield all-rounder Edo Kayembe is expected to return to the starting XI.

Portugal - DR Congo Key Points

  1. Recently, Portugal beat Chile by two goals to one.
  2. Also recently, D.R. Congo lost to Chile by two goals to one.
  3. The Portuguese have won each of their last three games, all of which contained no more than three goals.
  4. Less than four goals have been scored in each of D.R. Congo's last 13 games.
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Our Portugal vs DR Congo Prediction

Roberto Martinez's men have the overall quality to win this game, and that's why they are sizable favorites. Having said that, maybe we shouldn't expect them to run riot here. For starters, they'll want to keep a bit in reserve for tougher tasks ahead, while the visitors aren't in the habit of giving away bags of goals.

If we consider the difference in quality between the two, in combination with the fact that Sebastien Desabre's men typically find themselves in low-scoring games, betting a on a relatively low-scoring win for the Portuguese appeals plenty at odds of +100

Our Portugal vs D.R. Congo Pick: Portugal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Portugal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

+100
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Portugal vs DR Congo - Other Interesting Picks

Cedric Bakambu 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +105
The Portuguese should dominate this encounter, and it will be a big surprise if they fail to get the job done. However, that doesn't mean that the Leopards won't enjoy moments of promise in the final third. Far from prolific in terms of scoring goals, this D.R. Congo team has tried to compete in the final third of late, being fairly proactive in terms of getting shots off. One of the best in that respect is Cedric Bakambu, who registered a shot on target against both Denmark and Chile recently. Given this, plus that fact that he's coming off the back of a season where he averaged 1.42 shots on target per 90 minutes, he looks generously priced to hit the target at least once at odds of +105.
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Portugal to Win

Odds -400
If you're not too bothered about obtaining value for money and are looking to boost a multiple, then betting Portugal to come out on top keeps it nice and simple. The Portuguese simply have much greater strength in depth, and when push comes to shove, they've got what it takes to get over the line, likely without needing to hit top gear.
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Portugal vs DR Congo match : Frequently asked questions

Portugal vs D.R. Congo, in Group K, will be played at NRG Stadium, located in Houston, Texas.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Portugal vs DR Congo Picks