NFL Picks & Predictions

NFL 24/25 Season Picks and Betting Tips

Excitement is high for the 2024 NFL regular season. An eventful offseason is over, and the focus is on the gridiron for the next few months to see which teams reach Super Bowl LIX. 

Check back to this page throughout the campaign where we will be updating the futures odds and our weekly picks!

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NFL Prediction: Who will win Super Bowl 59?

FanDuel prices the Kansas City Chiefs as Super Bowl favorites just ahead of the San Francisco 49ers. History is against the Chiefs winning the Big Game in 2025, though, as they are aiming to become the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowls. 

The Niners, who lost to the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII, are looking to fight off a Super Bowl hangover, which has impacted so many teams after losing the final game of the season. San Francisco also begins the season in awkward circumstances; Brandon Aiyuk had a contract dispute, Trent Williams’ holdout only ended a couple of days before the season, and Christian McCaffrey is dealing with a calf strain.

Sportsbooks are pricing the Chiefs and Niners as the heavy favorites to lift the Lombardi Trophy. The Baltimore Ravens are way back as third favorites. We are skeptical of the Ravens as a true contender in 2024-25 after losing three starters from their offensive line, seeing their defense get weakened, and waving goodbye to defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald. There’s too much uncertainty to back them at this price.

In that price bracket, the Detroit Lions are much better value. Detroit’s schedule is favorable. Keeping Ben Johnson as offensive coordinator means they are almost a lock for a top five offense. The only concern is the pass defense against elite quarterbacks in the playoffs. 

Bettors are high on the Houston Texans, which is reflected in their price. A challenging schedule means those odds are on the short side. 

Elsewhere, we like the two-way prowess of the Green Bay Packers, and the New York Jets are going to take some beating if Aaron Rodgers stays healthy in his age-41 season. It’s +9000 for the Packers to face the Jets in the Super Bowl.

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2024/25 Super Bowl 59 Predictions: Who are the top teams this season?

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NFL Predictions: 2025 Super Bowl Futures

In the race for the title, several teams can legitimately claim to be NFL champions. Here are the odds for each team in the 2024-2025 National Football League season.

• Kansas City Chiefs +500
• San Francisco 49ers +700
• Baltimore Ravens +750
• Buffalo Bills +850
• Detroit Lions +950
• Houston Texans +1100
• Minnesota Vikings +1300
• Philadelphia Eagles +1500
• Green Bay Packers +2000
• Cincinnati Bengals +3000
• New York Jets +3000
• Atlanta Falcons +3000
• Dallas Cowboys +3400
• Washington Commanders +4000
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000
• Chicago Bears +4500
• Los Angeles Chargers +5000
• Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
• Seattle Seahawks +5000
• New Orleans Saints +7000
• Miami Dolphins +8500
• Arizona Cardinals +9000
• Indianapolis Colts +9000
• Jacksonville Jaguars +12000
• Los Angeles Rams +13000
• Tennessee Titans +15000
• Denver Broncos +15000
• New York Giants +19000
• Cleveland Browns +20000
• Las Vegas Raiders +39000
• Carolina Panthers +50000
• New England Patriots +50000

Odds provided by the FanDuel website

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AFC Picks: Who will be the champs?

Seven AFC teams started at +1000 or shorter to win the conference. The Chiefs are the betting favorite, as has been the norm for the last half-decade or so. Kansas City has represented the AFC in the Super Bowl in four of the last five seasons. 

The Chiefs’ offseason was focused on giving Patrick Mahomes more weapons. Their offense slipped to eighth last season, having been top three in every year of Mahomes’ career. On the defensive side of the ball, L'Jarius Sneed is a big loss, which is bound to weaken their pass defense.

Continued murkiness over Joe Burrow’s injury undermines confidence in the Cincinnati Bengals. The run to the Super Bowl a few years ago looks increasingly flukey. For all the talent, their offense has rarely been elite, and the defense was calamitous last season. We’d steer clear at this price.

It doesn’t take much imagination to see the Texans, Jets, or Buffalo Bills in the Super Bowl. Sean McDermott and Josh Allen have repeatedly shown they can compete in challenging circumstances. The Jets were exceptional on defense and special teams last year – just how good will they be if their offensive stars play 16+ games? 

You can’t go wrong with taking the Chiefs. Yes, the AFC is stacked with potentially great teams, but Kansas City is the pick of the bunch. A tricky early schedule could mean it’s worth waiting to get the Chiefs at a slightly longer price in this market, however, and we would still consider the Jets and Bills – they are the two teams best placed to get the better of Mahomes and Andy Reid.

Odds for the 24/25 AFC Championship

• Kansas City Chiefs +220
• Baltimore Ravens +370
• Buffalo Bills +450
• Houston Texans +550
• Cincinnati Bengals +1700
• New York Jets +1700
• Pittsburgh Steelers +2400
• Los Angeles Chargers +3000
• Indianapolis Colts +3500
• Miami Dolphins +3500
• Denver Broncos +7500
• Jacksonville Jaguars +7500
• Cleveland Browns +10000
• Tennessee Titans +10000
• Las Vegas Raiders +13000
• New England Patriots +25000

Odds provided by FanDuel

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NFC Picks: Who will be the champs?

The top of the NFC is not as strong as the AFC. It’s understandable making the San Francisco 49ers favorites – they are a proven postseason performer with a diverse offense and formidable defense. 

FanDuel’s prices show five real contenders to represent the NFC at Caesars Superdome in February. The Philadelphia Eagles ended last season on a woeful run then lost Jason Kelce and Fletcher Cox to retirement. Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has won just two of his seven playoff games. 

The two East powerhouses are a long way off being value at this point. Philadelphia has to prove itself once again after how the second half of the 2023-24 campaign went. We need to see it to believe it with this iteration of the Cowboys. 

Both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions have value in this market. FanDuel’s Futures Fusion offer on the Packers to be a wildcard team and win the NFC might be worth looking at, it is certainly appealing after what Jordan Love and co. showed us in the 2024 playoffs. 

While the Lions are a good bet to win the NFC, we prefer taking them to be the top seed in the conference. They are going to be a force in the regular season. We are a bit more hesitant backing them in the postseason, despite their run to the Conference Championship Game last season. 

There’s not much point looking beyond the top five teams for now. Some people might talk themselves into the Los Angeles Rams, but we need to see what they look like before even considering them their current offer.

Odds for the 24/25 NFC Championship:

• San Francisco 49ers +330
• Detroit Lions +480
• Minnesota Vikings +600
• Philadelphia Eagles +700
• Green Bay Packers +850
• Atlanta Falcons +1200
• Dallas Cowboys +1600
• Washington Commanders +1800
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2000
• Chicago Bears +2100
• Seattle Seahawks +2500
• New Orleans Saints +3500
• Arizona Cardinals +5000
• Los Angeles Rams +6500
• New York Giants +10000
• Carolina Panthers +40000

Odds provided by FanDuel

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What prediction for the 24/25 NFL MVP award?

Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen are once again the top two in NFL MVP betting. Six players have a shorter price than Lamar Jackson, who won his second MVP in 2023-24. 

After leading the league in passing yards per game and interception rate last season, C.J. Stroud is our value bet to win MVP. His Houston Texans project to be a playoff team once again – Stroud has a great shot at leading the league in passing yards and touchdowns.

Jordan Love, another young, ascendant quarterback, has caught our eye, too. Love’s Packers are heading for 10+ wins and could pip the Lions to the division. After finishing fifth in adjusted air yards per pass attempt in 2023, the Packers’ quarterback is poised for a big season. 

There might be some hype for Jared Goff if the Detroit Lions get off to a flying start. Detroit is an excellent all-around team, though, and voters are unlikely to give Goff sufficient credit to compete with Mahomes, Allen, Stroud, Love, and others.

Odds on the 24/25 MVP award:

• Patrick Mahomes +300
• Lamar Jackson +550
• C.J. Stroud +550
• Josh Allen +650
• Brock Purdy +1000
• Jayden Daniels +1300
• Jared Goff +1600
• Sam Darnold +1700
• Jordan Love +1800
• Baker Mayfield +2200
• Joe Burrow +2200
• Jalen Hurts +2500
• Kirk Cousins +2900
• Aaron Rodgers +4000
• Caleb Williams +5000
• Dak Prescott +5500

Odds provided by FanDuel

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NFL Rookie of the year prediction: Who will be the top newcomer in the 24/25 season?

First overall pick Caleb Williams is the big-time favorite to win 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Second overall pick and 2023 Heisman winner Jayden Daniels is second favorite at +600, just ahead of Arizona Cardinals receiver Marvin Harrison Jr.

Named as Denver Broncos starting quarterback, Bo Nix is priced fourth in this market at +1100.

It’s hard to see Nix or Drake Maye being productive enough to compete for OROY. Maye will also not be starting until a few weeks into the campaign. 

Daniels has a chance to put up numbers on the Washington Commanders – don’t be surprised if his odds shorten drastically before Week 5 with the Commanders enjoying a kind early schedule. 

If you’re after a longer price, Xavier Worthy of the Chiefs and Keon Coleman of the Bills are intriguing picks. Both should be integral to their offenses immediately. Fed the ball by Mahomes and Allen, Worthy, and Coleman have the potential to post some eye-catching stats this season. 

Selected 15th overall by the Indianapolis Colts, defensive end Laiatu Latu is just ahead of Dallas Turner and Jared Verse for Defensive Rookie of the Year. Latu was the first defensive player selected in the 2024 Draft – he was the clear winner in NFL.com’s preseason poll for DROY. 

Pass rushers tend to come out on top for DROY, as we’ve seen with Will Anderson Jr. and Shaquille Leonard. With the Minnesota Vikings expected to be one of the most blitz-heavy teams in the league, Turner is worth backing at his current price. 

Kamari Lassiter of the Texans is a decent longshot pick here. Houston should pressure quarterbacks frequently, enabling Lassiter to rack up a few interceptions and deflections.

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How to bet on the NFL?

After familiarizing yourself with the season structure, incoming talents, and last season’s results, the first step to NFL betting is to familiarize yourself with the popular NFL betting types and football picks. Point spread bets remain the staple NFL bet, aiming to level the playing field between mismatched teams. Moneyline bets are straightforward bets on the predicted game-winner. While totals (over/under) bets predict the combined score of a game to a set number. Lastly, prop bets allow for wagers on specific game events such as passing yards, TDs, interceptions, etc. 

Research is the key to successful sports betting. Staying up to date with team news, injury updates, and performances throughout the season will provide valuable insights. For example, the Jets were listed as one of the strongest teams in the 2023/24 season up until Aaron Rodgers’ season-ending injury. 

Live betting is an increasingly popular option, adding an exciting dimension to a match by allowing bettors to bet as the game progresses. Some sportsbooks now allow users to watch the match directly in their app, creating an all-in-one experience. 

Keep in mind that NFL betting should enhance your enjoyment of the games. By doing your homework before the match and strategically placing your bets, you can more deeply engage in each game, making them much more thrilling. Remember though that the goal is to add excitement, not to get out of your financial comfort zone. Gamble responsibly! 

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NFL Betting tips for beginners

Our NFL betting specialists at SportyTrader dedicate themselves to providing top-notch NFL match forecasts alongside key betting strategies to increase your odds of winning. Here are five key tips to keep in mind when betting on the NFL according to our experts:

• Check the status of the team as a whole
• Take a look at individual performances
• Check the latest stats
• Consider the psychological aspect
• Take advantage of sportsbook promos

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Tip #1: Check the status of the team as a whole

It’s important to check the current form of the teams you’re betting on, on both sides of the ball. A strong offense goes a long way but if the defense is letting everything through, then they will struggle to close out games. 

Paying attention to this balance is key to placing a winning bet. Factors such as team comp, missing players due to sickness, injury, etc can greatly impact performance. You’ll also want to consider the effectiveness of a team’s running or passing game and the defense they’ll be facing. Coaches will adapt their strategy for the opponent, you should do the same with your betting strategy! 

Tip #2: Take a look at individual performances 

Our second tip is to always consider the impact of an individual player in a given match. Stars can change the course of the game, especially in the QB position. Similarly, a standout running back or wide receiver can turn the tide with a few big plays. Defensive players also play a key role and stars on defense can make the difference between a win and a loss.

If a star is missing for a particular match or perhaps they have been underperforming, you’ll want your betting strategy to reflect this change. Taking individual performances into account when making your betting strategy can help you make more accurate predictions. 

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Tip #3: Check the latest stats 

Always consider stats before placing your sports bets, especially with the NFL. Stats can play the role of a crystal ball for your betting predictions. For example, a team’s offensive yard per game can tell you about their current ability to move the ball and score, while defensive stats like the number of sacks or interceptions can reveal their capacity to disrupt an offense. Also, take note of individual stats like passer rating or catch rate, these can give you clues about how the team will perform in the upcoming game.

Situational stats such as third down conversions or red zone efficiency are also important stats to consider for NFL bets. Analyzing these stats allows you to get a full picture of the strengths and weaknesses of a team beyond their win-loss record. By incorporating statistical analysis into your betting strategy, you can make more informed decisions and increase your chances of a successful wager. 

Tip #4: Consider the psychological aspect

Another important factor that can greatly influence the outcome of a game is the current mental state of the players. The NFL season is often a series of ups and downs, how a team reacts to these highs and lows can tell you all you need to know about their performance. 

Difficulties off the field or locker room hardships can cause a domino effect of poor team performance. For example, Antonio Brown was a rising star in the NFL until some serious allegations were brought against him. His performance was quickly impacted causing him to be released by the Raiders and then picked up by the Patriots where he played in only one game. 

Tip #5: Take advantage of sportsbook bonuses

Signing up with multiple sportsbooks allows you to take advantage of the lucrative welcome bonuses that each offers. These offers are opportunities to increase your bankroll with minimal risk. Welcome bonuses are often in the form of deposit matches, where the sportsbook matches a percentage of your initial deposit, or no-sweat first bets, where the sportsbook will refund a losing first bet. 

Several sportsbooks also offer NFL-specific promos throughout the season which you should take advantage of. In order to be able to see and use these promos, you’ll need to create an account with each of the top online sportsbooks. By taking advantage of these promos and multiple welcome bonuses, you’re placing yourself at a serious advantage. 

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What not to do for your NFL Predictions

Continuously adapting your betting strategy is key to succeeding in sports betting. Adapting to trends and steering clever of common missteps is essential for sustained success. Here are some typical errors to avoid when betting on the NFL: 

• Don’t overvalue preseason matches! These matches historically don’t reflect a team’s true competitive form. 
• Keep the weather in mind as the NFL season plays through the dead of winter. A team that typically plays in sunny and 75 will probably struggle in the snowy, below-freezing matches away from home.
• Don’t overlook the importance of the offensive and defensive lines. The battles at the line of scrimmage can make the difference between a win and a loss. 
• Not comparing odds from multiple sportsbooks can be the difference between a small and a big gain. 
• Rushing to break a losing streak with a bet on a team you’re unfamiliar with. 

By avoiding these mistakes you’re setting yourself up to skip some of the new bettor growing pains. Remember to always refine your betting strategy and not to limit yourself to only one team/betting option.

Stats to consider for NFL predictions

With sports betting, numbers are key. Stats allow you to refine your strategy with empirical data. Here is a full list of the stats from the 22/23 NFL season, use them to adapt your strategy!

• The Browns allowed the fewest yards per game play last season (4.6).
• The Bills has the highest turnover percentage on defense (16%).
• With a 14-6 record, the Lions covered the spread more than any other team in 2023-24.
• Carolina covered the spread in four of its 17 regular season games.
• The Dolphins went 9-2 ATS as a favorite in 2023-24.
• The Cowboys failed to cover the spread in four games as an underdog.
• Philadelphia cashed the over in seven of their eight home games and just two of their 10 road games.
• All nine of Cleveland’s home games hit the over.
• The Chargers went 0-7 straight-up as an underdog.
• The Colts won all six of their games as a favorite.
• Detroit had the highest pressure rate among all 32 defenses.
• Denver allowed the most yards per rush (5).
• The Niners averaged the most yards per play on offense (6.6).
• With 509 points, the Cowboys were the NFL’s highest-scoring team.
• Tampa Bay averaged the fewest rushing yards per game (88.8).

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In Conclusion: How to get your NFL bets right?

Let the information on this page serve as a tool for your betting strategy, the more tools you have, the better equipped you’ll be to achieve success. Don’t forget to consistently follow the league and the weekly developments to get an idea of team form. 

The best piece of advice is to follow all of our predictions, carefully crafted by NFL experts who bring extensive experience and the use of algorithms to formulate their picks. These picks are 100% free so go ahead and place your bets with confidence!

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