San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks
The NBA Finals continue on Saturday night, with a crucial Game 5 between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Spurs and Knicks.
New York is on the brink of an NBA title, after winning Game 4 at home to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. Not only did the Knicks win Game 4, but they did so in dramatic fashion, coming back from a 29-point deficit to win 107-106.
As for San Antonio, they have the luxury of returning home for this must-win game; however, they will need to quickly forget about their collapse in Game 4 if they are going to extend this series. The Spurs have certainly been competitive in this series, but their inability to close out games consistently casts doubt on their chances to win this game by the set spread.
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San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Form
San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks Latest Matches
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San Antonio Spurs against New York Knicks : Head to Head (H2H)
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San Antonio Spurs - New York Knicks: Form Analysis
Over the course of the NBA Playoffs, the Knicks have easily been the best team. Overall, New York is 15-3 in the playoffs, having only lost two games to the Atlanta Hawks in the Eastern Conference first round, and once to the Spurs in Game 3 of the NBA Finals.
What has made the Knicks so hard to beat is their efficient offense, as they are averaging 117.1 points per game in the NBA Playoffs as a whole. In the NBA Finals, the Knicks are averaging 107.0 points per game, but are allowing 105.0 points per game.
“The New York Knicks won both games played in San Antonio in the NBA Finals.”
San Antonio has been much more inconsistent in the NBA Playoffs, and has an overall record of 13-9. The same has been true for San Antonio at home, as they have a record of 5-5 in home playoff games.
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Players list
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
J. Hart
J. Brunson
M. Bridges
K. Towns
O. Anunoby
Substitutes
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
M. McBride
T. Kolek
J. Alvarado
J. Clarkson
L. Shamet
M. Diawara
J. Sochan
P. Dadiet
San Antonio Spurs & New York Knicks Squad Analysis
There is no question that Jalen Brunson has been the backbone for the Knicks in the NBA Playoffs. Through 18 playoff games, Brunson leads the team in scoring, averaging 27.4 points per game. Further, in the NBA Finals alone, Brunson is averaging 29.5 points per game.
However, Brunson is not the only player on the Knicks who has stepped up during their run. OG Anunoby is averaging 20.7 points per game in the playoffs (23.8 points per game in the NBA Finals), and Karl Anthony-Towns is averaging 16.7 points per game in the playoffs (15.8 points per game in the NBA Finals).
“The New York Knicks have five players averaging double figures in the NBA Playoffs.”
Like the Knicks with Brunson, the Spurs also have a clear standout in this series, that being Victor Wembanyama. He is averaging 27.8 points per game in the NBA Finals. Aside from Wembanyama, Stephon Castle is averaging 16.8 points per game in the NBA Finals, and De’Aaron Fox is averaging 14.3 points per game in the NBA Finals.
San Antonio Spurs - New York Knicks Key Points
- The Knicks are 15-3 SU in the NBA Playoffs
- New York is 8-1 ATS on the road in the playoffs
- San Antonio is 13-9 SU in the playoffs
- San Antonio is 6-5 ATS at home in the playoffs
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction
Given that the NBA Finals are shifting back to San Antonio for Game 5, the Spurs are once again the clear betting favorite. Despite that, the Knicks look to be the best betting option.
The Spurs managed to cover the spread in both games played in New York; however, the same cannot be said for Games 1 and 2, which were played in San Antonio. To this point, the Spurs are a mediocre 6-5 ATS at home in the playoffs, while the Knicks are 8-1 ATS on the road.
Add in the fact that the Spurs will need to recover from the 29-point lead they gave up in Game 4, and our San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks prediction is: New York Knicks +5.5.
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks - Other Interesting Picks
Under 216.5 Total Points
Our second pick for this game will look for the total to go under. While the Knicks and the Spurs have both been high-scoring teams in the NBA Playoffs, the same has not been the case in the NBA Finals.
Through four games in the NBA Finals, the total has gone under in three of the four games. Further, even with the one game that went over the total, it did not exceed the point total set for Game 5.
Combined, there has been an average of 212.0 points per game in this series; therefore, backing the under will be our play in Game 5 as well.
Jalen Brunson to Score 25+ Points
Our third pick for this game will look for Jalen Brunson, from the New York Knicks, to score at least 25+ points. Through four games in the NBA Finals, Brunson is averaging 29.5 points per game, and has scored at least 25+ points in three of the four games.
This includes 30 points in Game 1, 32 points in Game 3, and 36 points in Game 4. In addition to his excellent NBA Finals series, Brunson has simply been a force throughout the entirety of the NBA Playoffs.
He is averaging 27.4 points per game through 18 playoff games, and has scored at least 25+ points in 12 of 18 games. Given his consistent production throughout the playoffs, backing Brunson to score 25+ points will be our play.
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San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks match : Frequently asked questions
Teams that take a 3-1 lead in the NBA Finals have won the title 37 of 38 times.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
