Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Sweden
6/14/26 22:00
Tunisia

Prediction:

 

Sweden to Win

-115
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

On Sunday evening, in the Mexican city of Monterrey, the team that finished third at the 1994 World Cup will be in action. That’s right, it’s time for the Swedes to begin their 2026 journey, and that journey will start with a game against Tunisia. 

Sweden is not one of the countries that boasts a previous World Cup win, but the Scandinavian nation has performed well at several previous tournaments, finishing third twice and runners-up once. This is the first time that they’ve qualified since 2018, though, and they’ll be keen to impress. The Tunisians have featured at each of the last two World Cups, but they failed to make it out of the groups in both 2018 and 2022. Can they do better this time around? 

If we look at the early lines, the Swedes likely have a better chance of making the most of this relatively straightforward opening task than a price of -115 suggests. In other words, it’s worth betting on a Sweden victory.

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Sweden vs Tunisia Form

Sweden and Tunisia Latest Matches

Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
L D W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden
W L L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  2
Switzerland

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Sweden
4 :  3
Algeria
W D L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
2 :  0
Sweden

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
2 :  2
Sweden

Jun 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  2
Sweden
Tunisia
Tunisia Latest matches
D D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Belgium
5 :  0
Tunisia

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Austria
1 :  0
Tunisia

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Tunisia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
0 :  1
Tunisia

Jan 3, 2026 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Tunisia

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  1
Tunisia
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  1
Uganda

Dec 1, 2025 - Arab Cup

Tunisia
0 :  1
Syria

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
3 :  2
Jordan

Nov 12, 2025 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
1 :  1
Mauritania

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Tunisia
3 :  0
Namibia

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Tunisia
3 :  0
Liberia
D D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Belgium
5 :  0
Tunisia

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Austria
1 :  0
Tunisia

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Tunisia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
0 :  1
Tunisia

Jan 3, 2026 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Tunisia

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  1
Tunisia

Sweden - Tunisia: Form Analysis

The Swedes don’t exactly come into this World Cup in red-hot form, having tied against a Greek team that didn’t qualify last time out, while they struggled to match the quality of fellow Scandinavian nation Norway prior to that, losing by three goals to one. Importantly, they are scoring regular goals, though, which is more than can be said for their opponents, and as they’ve notched nine in their four games since March, they should take to the field feeling confident. 

Importantly, they are scoring regular goals, though, which is more than can be said for their opponents, and as they’ve notched nine in their four games since March, they should take to the field feeling confident. 

The Tunisians are in dreadful scoring form, there can be no denying that. They’re also in poor form in general, losing their most recent warm-up game by five goals to zero against the Red Devils of Belgium. Prior to that, they didn’t quite collapse defensively, but they still tasted defeat, without scoring, losing by a goal to zero against the Austrians. They’ve won just one of their last seven games, scoring only one goal in their last four, displaying some of the worst build-up form of all the teams that we’re about to see play at the 2026 World Cup.

Up to $200 to bet on Sweden - Tunisia! 

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Players list

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

K. Nordfeldt

Defender

G. Gudmundsson

I. Hien

D. Svensson

G. Lagerbielke

A. Bernhardsson

Midfielder

M. Svanberg

Y. Ayari

B. Nygren

Forward

A. Isak

V. Gyokeres

Tunisia
Tunisia
Goalkeeper

A. Chamakh

Defender

A. Arous

O. Rekik

M. Talbi

M. Ben Hmida

Midfielder

E. Skhiri

K. Ayari

I. Gharbi

M. Hadj Mahmoud

Forward

E. Achouri

H. Mastouri

Substitutes

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

V. Johansson

J. Widell Zetterstrom

Defender

H. Ekdal

E. Smith

C. Starfelt

E. Stroud

H. Johansson

Midfielder

L. Bergvall

K. Sema

J. Karlstrom

B. Zeneli

S. Nanasi

Forward

T. Ali

G. Nilsson

A. Elanga

Tunisia
Tunisia
Goalkeeper

S. Ben Hessen

A. Dahmen

Defender

M. Ben Ouanes

A. Abdi

D. Bronn

Y. Valery

R. Chikhaoui

M. Neffati

Midfielder

S. Tounekti

H. Mejbri

A. Slimane

R. Khedira

Forward

F. Chaouat

R. Elloumi

E. Saad

Sweden & Tunisia Squad Analysis

If Graham Potter decides to line the Swedes up in a 4-4-2 formation, then he’s going to have a very strong front two of Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak, both of whom started the final warm-up game. Lucas Bergvall didn’t start against Greece, but is expected to come back into the midfield, while Anthony Elanga is a likely starter too. Celtic’s Benjamin Nygren, who scored 16 goals in the Scottish Premiership last season, could start in an offensive midfield role. 

If Lamouchi is looking for more experience at the back, then he could recall Nice defender Ali Abdi, who was rested against Belgium having played 90 minutes against Austria.

Will Tunisian head coach Sabri Lamouchi switch things up after that Belgian defeat? Well, it’s certainly possible, and he’ll need to do something, though most of what he’s tried in recent times has failed. If Lamouchi is looking for more experience at the back, then he could recall Nice defender Ali Abdi, who was rested against Belgium having played 90 minutes against Austria.

Sweden - Tunisia Key Points

  1. The Tunisians looked miles off the pace when losing their final warm-up game by five goals to zero.
  2. The Tunisians enter the tournament having lost each of their two warm-up matches.
  3. The Tunisians have scored just one goal in their last four games.
  4. The Swedes have scored nine goals in their last four games.
Up to $200 to bet on Sweden - Tunisia! 

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Our Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction

This really could come down to the rather glaringly obvious fact that the Swedes possess an awful lot more offensive power than the Tunisians, who really are struggling for goals. Not only do the North Africans find it tough to both create and score, but they showed a lack of defensive solidity against both Austria and Belgium, performing as if they'd find it all too tough against a high-scoring Sweden team that has stacks of forward quality. 

Our Sweden vs Tunisia Pick: Sweden to Win.

Prediction:

 

Sweden to Win

-115
$200 offered for betting!

Sweden vs Tunisia - Other Interesting Picks

Anthony Elanga 1+ Shots on Target

Odds -120
Anthony Elanga is one of Sweden's most explosive offensive players, and after some encouraging cameo appearances in the warm-up games, during which he took three shots, registering two on target, the Newcastle man looks a little too leniently priced to register a shot on target against a Tunisian team that is expected to be on the back foot for large parts of this game.
$200 offered for betting!

A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Sweden vs Tunisia!

DraftKings WC Bonus

Looking to place a bet on Sweden vs Tunisia? For this World Cup match and throughout the World Cup, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$200 in bonus bets for Sweden vs Tunisia!

Sweden vs Tunisia match : Frequently asked questions

Meeting in Group F, Sweden and Tunisia will take to the field at Estadio BBVA in the Mexican city of Monterrey.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sweden vs Tunisia Picks