New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer
USA - Major League Soccer
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by Carlos Zabala | in Major League Soccer Picks
Once the World Cup break was over, New York City returned to MLS action in the best possible way, with a 2-1 victory against Columbus Crew and a 3-1 win at Yankee Stadium against Chicago Fire. Once again, the Pigeons demonstrated their clinical finishing in the final third, with Fernández, Ojeda, and Jones scoring all three goals before halftime. Pascal Jansen's team will be the favorite to beat Toronto FC on Friday.
These teams face off once again with very different realities. New York City is in the playoff race, while the Canadian side is six points behind a playoff spot. Furthermore, New York City has defeated Toronto FC five times in a row since 2023; the Reds have struggled when visiting the Big Apple.
Toronto FC lacks the attacking prowess that New York City possesses. Robin Fraser's team is in another nightmarish streak, having gone 12 games without a win across all competitions. They also recently conceded a penalty in the 100th minute that cost them the game against DC United at Audi Field.
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New York City vs Toronto FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
25 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +7 |
|
26
|
16 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -8 |
New York City and Toronto FC Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Jul 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 23, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 20, 2026 - US Open Cup
May 16, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 18, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 23, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 20, 2026 - US Open Cup
May 16, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 29, 2026 - US Open Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Jul 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 23, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 16, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 5, 2026 - Canadian Championship
May 2, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Apr 18, 2026 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Jul 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 23, 2026 - Major League Soccer
May 16, 2026 - Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2026 - Major League Soccer
New York City against Toronto FC : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jul 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 11, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2023 - Leagues Cup
Toronto FC v New York City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
T. Romero
DefenderM. Ilenic
MidfielderM. Carrizo
H. Wolf
K. Pierre
ForwardTalles Magno
M. Murray
S. Reid
A. Farnos
W. Yarbrough
A. De Rosario
MidfielderA. Coello
M. Henry
D. Mihailovic
ForwardR. Edwards
D. Kerr
J. Vilsaint
Missing players
K. Trewin
Raul Gustavo
D. Baiera
MidfielderM. Moralez
K. Parks
A. O'Neill
ForwardA. Martinez
K. O'Toole
M. Pereira
N. Gomis
L. Stefanovic
R. Chukwu
MidfielderN. Palacio
M. Cimermancic
Most goals and assists
New York City
Toronto FC
N. Fernandez
(12 Goals)
D. Salloi
(4 Goals)
M. Moralez
(6 Assists)
J. Osorio
(3 Assists)
,
D. Salloi
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Coello
(3 Assists)
New York City - Toronto FC Key Points
- Toronto FC only created one clear-cut chance in their last match
- In New York City's six victories over Toronto, the Pigeons scored two or more goals in five of them
- New York City had eight shots on target in their win against the Chicago Fire
- Toronto FC has a goal difference of -8 in MLS
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Our New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction
Of all the players Toronto FC needs to mark closely, New York City forward Nicolás Fernández stands out. He scored in consecutive matches against Nashville, Columbus Crew, and the Chicago Fire, bringing his tally to 12 goals and 3 assists.
The most likely outcome is one in which the Pigeons once again prove strong at Yankee Stadium, while Toronto again demonstrates its inability to prevail in close games.
Our prediciton for New York City vs Toronto FC is: New York City -1.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
