Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Valencia
11/7/26 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid -1.5

−133
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 by Carlos Zabala | in LaLiga Picks

Mourinho's Real Madrid is gaining momentum; on Saturday they will play their fourth consecutive away game, arriving at Mestalla to face Valencia with a deficit reduced to just three points behind league leaders Barcelona after winning El Clásico. During the week, Los Blancos secured another Champions League victory via a comeback win in Athens against AEK, which included goals from Bellingham, Mbappé, and Valverde in stoppage time.

This season, Valencia has yet to win at Mestalla; after a worrying start, they appointed Mexican Javier Aguirre as their new manager, and he has guided Los Che to two draws, a defeat against Villarreal, and an away win against Elche in the last match. In that game, Sadiq scored the goal assisted by Danjuma; even with the victory, Valencia remains second-to-last in the league table.

With 12 goals, Mbappé is currently the second-highest scorer in the league. In Athens, Mourinho took a gamble by starting Vinicius but also Diomandé. However, the Brazilian will not be able to play against Valencia, as he will continue serving his suspension.

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Valencia vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Real Madrid
27 11 9 0 2 +18
19 Valencia
9 11 2 3 6 -9

Valencia and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Valencia
Valencia Latest matches
W L D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  1
Valencia

Oct 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Villarreal

Oct 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  2
Valencia

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Valencia
D L L L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Villarreal

Oct 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

Sep 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

Aug 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Betis

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Celta Vigo
D L L W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  1
Valencia

Oct 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  2
Valencia

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Valencia

Sep 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Valencia

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

La Coruna
3 :  1
Valencia

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Valencia
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Nov 4, 2026 - Champions League

AEK Athens
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Oct 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 21, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Sevilla

Oct 14, 2026 - Champions League

Roma
3 :  4
Real Madrid
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 21, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Sevilla

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Nov 4, 2026 - Champions League

AEK Athens
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Oct 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 14, 2026 - Champions League

Roma
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Valencia against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Valencia

17 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Valencia

Jan 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 2, 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 11, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Valencia
Valencia vs Real Madrid Picks

Real Madrid v Valencia last Lineups

Valencia

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
S. Dimitrievski
22
M. Arnau
18
Pepelu
5
C. Tarrega
14
J. Gaya
24
P. Maffeo
33
A. Mayol
2
G. Rodriguez
11
L. Rioja
8
J. Guerra Moreno
7
A. Danjuma
7
Vinicius Junior
10
K. Mbappe
25
Y. Diomande
5
J. Bellingham
6
E. Camavinga
20
B. Silva
17
M. Cucurella
22
A. Rudiger
3
E. Militao
24
D. Dumfries
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

C. Rivero

Defender

J. Vazquez

D. Foulquier

M. Diakhaby

J. De Haas

Midfielder

R. Sato

A. Dieng

F. Ugrinic

Forward

A. Blazquez

H. Duro

U. Sadiq

D. Raba

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Mestre

A. Lunin

Defender

T. Alexander-Arnold

I. Konate

A. Carreras

D. Huijsen

Midfielder

T. Pitarch Pinar

F. Valverde

S. Martinez

Forward

B. Diaz

Endrick

C. Espi

Missing players

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

K. Van Oevelen

Defender

J. Copete

Midfielder

H. Elliott

Forward

S. Canos

D. Lopez

D. Otorbi

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

R. Asencio

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Forward

Vinicius Junior

Rodrygo

A. Guler

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Valencia
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria U. Sadiq (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (12 Goals)
Best assists
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (2 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (3 Assists) , 
England J. Bellingham (3 Assists) , 
Brazil Vinicius Junior (3 Assists)

Valencia and Real Madrid Stats in LaLiga

Valencia
Valencia
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18%
Wins
82%
55%
Losses
18%
27%
Draws
0%
2.27
Average goals per match
3.45
0.73
Goals scored per match
2.55
1.55
Goals conceded per match
0.91
55%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
45%
Over 2.5 goals
82%
36%
No goals conceded
27%
36%
Both score
64%

Valencia - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Bellingham completed 93% of his attempted passes in the match against AEK Athens
  2. Real Madrid controlled 70% of possession in the last match
  3. Valencia has conceded five goals this season after the 80th minute
  4. Real Madrid won without conceding a goal in their last two matches against Valencia
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Our Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction

As a manager, in his first stint with Real Madrid, Mourinho never lost against Valencia in six matches. While his team has earned hard-fought victories in the Champions League, in La Liga they now look like a juggernaut, and most recently, they defeated Racing 3-0 with goals from their stars Mbappé, Bellingham, and Diomandé, all before halftime.

Furthermore, in La Liga, Mourinho's Real Madrid has not lost at halftime in 11 matches, while Valencia has lost all three of its matches against teams currently in the top seven of the league.

Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid is: Real Madrid -1.5.

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid -1.5

−133
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.