Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
11/7/26 16:00
Toronto FC

Prediction:

 

Josh Sargent to Score

+280
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Major League Soccer Picks

On Decision Day in the Major League Soccer regular season, the Philadelphia Union have the chance to secure a play-off spot, but to do that, they'll likely need to pick up all three points here. A point could be enough, but why leave it up to chance? Fortunately, Ryan Richter's men have a favorable final game, up against a TFC outfit that can no longer earn a postseason place. 

On paper, the visitors have nothing to play for here, but that means that the pressure is off, they can play with freedom, and let's face it, they'd enjoy spoiling the party for the hosts. One visiting player who could easily do that is the in-form Josh Sargent, who at odds of +280 is worth betting on to score. Sargent will arrive at Subaru Park having scored two goals in his last three starts. 

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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Philadelphia Union
47 33 13 8 12 +11
24 Toronto FC
39 33 9 12 12 -12

Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC Latest Matches

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Latest matches
W W D L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Oct 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
0 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Oct 24, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  2
New England Revolution

Oct 17, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  2
Charlotte FC

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  1
Real Salt Lake
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  2
New England Revolution

Oct 17, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  2
Charlotte FC

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  1
Real Salt Lake

Sep 26, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  2
Orlando City SC

Sep 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
5 :  0
FC Cincinnati

Sep 5, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  0
CF Montreal
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Oct 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
0 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Sep 19, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
3 :  4
Philadelphia Union

Sep 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
0 :  5
Philadelphia Union

Aug 29, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Toronto FC Latest matches
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
3 :  1
Toronto FC

Oct 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
DC United

Oct 24, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
4 :  2
Toronto FC

Oct 17, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  2
Toronto FC

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Orlando City SC

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal
D D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
DC United

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Orlando City SC

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Sep 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
Nashville SC

Sep 5, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
4 :  4
Chicago Fire

Aug 29, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
New York City
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
3 :  1
Toronto FC

Oct 24, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
4 :  2
Toronto FC

Oct 17, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  2
Toronto FC

Sep 26, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  0
Toronto FC

Sep 19, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City SC
3 :  1
Toronto FC

Sep 12, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
3 :  0
Toronto FC

Philadelphia Union against Toronto FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Union

17 %

Draw

50 %

Toronto FC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  1
Toronto FC

May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  2
Philadelphia Union

Jul 13, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
Philadelphia Union

May 29, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
0 :  0
Toronto FC

Aug 30, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  1
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Picks

Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union last Lineups

Philadelphia Union

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

18
A. Blake
39
F. Westfield
44
N. Pierre
26
N. Harriel
27
K. Wagner
33
Q. Sullivan
19
I. Vassilev
4
J. Lukic
16
B. Bender
23
E. Alladoh
9
B. Damiani
7
T. Corbeanu
9
J. Sargent
20
D. Salloi
10
D. Mihailovic
6
N. Dorsch
21
J. Osorio
3
M. Pereira
15
N. Gomis
13
B. Kuscevic
22
R. Laryea
1
L. Gavran

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Toronto FC

Substitutes

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Goalkeeper

A. Rick

Defender

F. Sundstrom

J. Griffin

G. Martinez

Midfielder

J. Bueno

C. Sullivan

Forward

M. Jakupovic

J. Rafanello

A. Anello

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Goalkeeper

W. Yarbrough

Defender

J. Gilman

R. Chukwu

Z. Monlouis

Midfielder

L. Morgan

M. Cimermancic

A. Coello

Forward

D. Etienne

E. Aristizabal

Missing players

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Defender

J. Sery

Midfielder

A. Bedoya

Forward

M. Iloski

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Defender

W. Zimmerman

K. Franklin

Midfielder

N. Palacio

A. Coello

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Philadelphia Union
CD Huachipato Toronto FC
Top Goalscorer
USA M. Iloski (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Hungary D. Salloi (9 Goals) ,  USA J. Sargent (9 Goals)
Best assists
USA F. Westfield (9 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Salloi (7 Assists)

Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Key Points

  1. Josh Sargent has scored two goals in his last three MLS appearances.
  2. In his last three MLS starts, Josh Sargent has taken no less than 13 shots.
  3. When these two teams met earlier in the season, Josh Sargent scored.
  4. Per 90 minutes this season, Josh Sargent averages 0.39 goals.
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Our Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction

With the hosts pushing for that much-needed win, there will be chances for the TFC boys on the break, and someone like Josh Sargent, who has been in strong form of late, will enjoy that. After all, it's not as if the Union typically keep teams out at home, recording no clean sheet in the last four games at Subaru Park, conceding a worrying total of seven goals during that time. 

Pair the recent defensive efforts of the hosts with the eye-catching form of Sargent and odds of +280 start to look very lenient indeed. 

Our Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Pick: Josh Sargent to Score.

Prediction:

 

Josh Sargent to Score

+280
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.