New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

New England Patriots
10/11/26 13:00
Las Vegas Raiders

Prediction:

 

Las Vegas +3.5

-105
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

The Brady Bowl will take place in New England on Sunday afternoon. Tom Brady obviously had a Hall of Fame career with the Patriots, but he is now a part owner of the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Patriots got off to a not-so-great start to the season. They opened with a 13-10 loss to the Seattle Seahawks and lost their newly acquired standout wide receiver, AJ Brown, to injury. They did then come back and decimate the Steelers 20-4 at home the following week. However, a 35-6 loss against the Jaguars put much doubt into the Patriots' ability to move the ball consistently. That said, they were able to pick up a 29-26-win last week on the road in Buffalo. Now, many are believing in these Patriots once again.

The Raiders started with 3 straight wins to open their season. The Dolphins, Chargers, and Saints all played victim to the Raiders over that stretch. Last week, they had an opportunity to prove that they were a real contender when they faced the 3-0 Chiefs. They came up short and lost 30-27, but walked away with a ton of respect from many in the league. Kirk Cousins has been doing a great job in handling the offense and limiting their mistakes. Maxx Crosby and company have also been holding it down on defense and have held opponents to an average of 21 points per game.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
11 Las Vegas Raiders
0.75 4 3 1
14 New England Patriots
0.5 4 2 2

New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders Latest Matches

New England Patriots
New England Patriots Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 4, 2026 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
26 :  29
New England Patriots

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
35 :  6
New England Patriots

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
20 :  3
Pittsburgh Steelers

Sep 9, 2026 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
13 :  10
New England Patriots

Feb 8, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
13 :  29
Seattle Seahawks

Jan 25, 2026 - NFL

Denver Broncos
7 :  10
New England Patriots
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
20 :  3
Pittsburgh Steelers

Feb 8, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
13 :  29
Seattle Seahawks

Jan 18, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  16
Houston Texans

Jan 11, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
16 :  3
Los Angeles Chargers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
38 :  10
Miami Dolphins

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
31 :  35
Buffalo Bills
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2026 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
26 :  29
New England Patriots

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
35 :  6
New England Patriots

Sep 9, 2026 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
13 :  10
New England Patriots

Jan 25, 2026 - NFL

Denver Broncos
7 :  10
New England Patriots

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  42
New England Patriots

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
24 :  28
New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
27 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
27 :  35
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
14 :  26
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
27 :  13
Miami Dolphins

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
14 :  12
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
10 :  34
New York Giants
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 4, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
27 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
27 :  13
Miami Dolphins

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
14 :  12
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
10 :  34
New York Giants

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
17 :  24
Denver Broncos

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
10 :  24
Cleveland Browns
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
27 :  35
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
14 :  26
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  21
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
31 :  0
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
31 :  14
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
10 :  7
Las Vegas Raiders

New England Patriots against Las Vegas Raiders : Head to Head (H2H)

New England Patriots

0 %

Las Vegas Raiders

100 %

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
13 :  20
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 15, 2023 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
21 :  17
New England Patriots

Dec 18, 2022 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
30 :  24
New England Patriots
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks

New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders Key Points

  1. Patriots are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  2. Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  3. Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  4. Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Our New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

The Patriots certainly looked like the same team that made it to the Super Bowl last season when they defeated the Bills on the road. However, we believe they are going to be flying too high and taking this Raiders team a bit too lightly here. Vegas has everything to prove, and the point spread should come into play here late in the game. We like the Raiders to cover the number, and they could be a sneaky upset pick on the road.

Our prediction for New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas +3.5

Prediction:

 

Las Vegas +3.5

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.