Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction & Picks - NFL

Prediction published on 10/9/26, 1:00 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 10/10/26 at 3:05 PM in NFL Picks

The New York Giants have emerged as a valuable underdog play at +142 in their Week 5 matchup against the Washington Commanders, who own the third-worst defense in the NFL.

Current Form:

The Washington Commanders have gone 1-3 in their first four games of the season. The Commanders opened their season in a 22-24 heartbreaker against the Philadelphia Eagles and dropped the next game against the Dallas Cowboys, 20-37. Washington then pulled off a 33-31 squeaker over the defending Super Bowl champions, the Seattle Seahawks, in Week 3 but suffered another momentum-busting loss to the Indianapolis Colts, 13-30, last week.

The New York Giants have emerged as one of this season’s biggest surprises. The Giants stunned division rivals, the Dallas Cowboys, 28-20, in Week 1 but lost to the Los Angeles Rams 6-28 in the second week. The Giants then scored back-to-back wins over the Tennessee Titans, 12-7, and the Arizona Cardinals, 36-24, in Weeks 3 and 4, respectively.

The Matchup: Washington has won their last four meetings against the Giants. This head-to-head superiority keeps the Commanders as the favorite at -170 despite their poor 1-3 start. Meanwhile, the Giants are a tantalizing +142 underdog heading into this divisional matchup.