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by Erik Gibbs in NFL Picks
The Las Vegas Raiders will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday to take on the Indianapolis Colts in a key AFC matchup between two teams trending in opposite directions. The Raiders enter Week 5 with a disappointing 1-3 record, having dropped three consecutive games after a heartbreaking 25-24 loss to the Chicago Bears. That defeat came in dramatic fashion, as kicker Daniel Carlson’s 54-yard field goal attempt to win the game was blocked in the final moments.
Despite showing flashes of offensive potential, Las Vegas continues to struggle in critical moments, failing to sustain drives or capitalize in the red zone. Through four games, inconsistency has plagued both sides of the ball, as the Raiders’ offensive line has allowed too much pressure while the defense has failed to create enough stops.
The Indianapolis Colts, meanwhile, have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season. Despite a 27-20 road loss to the Los Angeles Rams last week, Indianapolis remains in first place in the AFC South with a 3-1 record.
Quarterback Daniel Jones has been the catalyst for the Colts’ offensive resurgence, helping the team average an impressive 30.75 points per game. His dual-threat ability has opened up running lanes and created balance in the offense, which is averaging over 136 rushing yards per contest.
The Colts’ offensive line has also provided solid protection, allowing Jones to distribute the ball effectively to a deep group of receivers. Even with the Week 4 loss, this Indianapolis team looks cohesive, physical, and confident heading into their home matchup with Las Vegas.
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Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
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9
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0.75 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
25
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0.25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Las Vegas Raiders and Indianapolis Colts Latest Matches

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Las Vegas Raiders against Indianapolis Colts : Head to Head (H2H)
Dec 31, 2023 - NFL
Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts Key Points
- The Over is 8-1 in the Colts’ last 9 games vs. AFC teams
- The Over is 4-0 in the Raiders’ last 4 Week 5 games as underdogs
- The Colts are 10-0 in their last 10 games as favorites vs. AFC teams
- The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games as underdogs
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Our Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction
From a matchup standpoint, the Raiders face a daunting challenge on both ends. Offensively, quarterback Jeanty has shown progress in recent weeks but remains under constant duress due to weak protection up front. The Colts’ defense has been stout against the run, meaning Las Vegas will likely need to rely on its passing game to stay competitive.
That could be a problem given the Raiders’ recent struggles with turnovers and stalled drives. Defensively, the Raiders will need to find a way to contain Daniel Jones, who can hurt teams both through the air and on the ground. Indianapolis’ balance and play-action threat could easily exploit the Raiders’ inconsistent secondary.
Historically, the Colts have dominated this matchup, winning seven of the last ten meetings, including a 23-20 home victory in 2023. The teams have split their last four games in Indianapolis, but all signs point toward another comfortable win for the Colts.
Expect Jones to rebound from last week’s loss with a cleaner performance, while the Colts’ defense frustrates Las Vegas throughout. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders: Over 48.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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