Chicago Bears vs New York Jets Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Chicago Bears
10/4/26 13:00
New York Jets

Prediction:

 

Over 42.5

-115
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

The Chicago Bears will host the New York Jets on Sunday afternoon for the 1st time since 2022.

The Bears are riding high after they pulled off the upset victory against the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday night. Case Keenum played nearly perfectly in place of both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent, who were injured prior to the game. He completed over 70% of his passes for just under 250 yards and 2 touchdowns. His veteran poise was unparalleled, and he, along with a strong defensive effort, helped the Bears pick up the 27-7 victory last week. The win did also come with some unfortunate mistakes by the Eagles, which the Bears should not be banking on happening again here.

The Jets opened their season with a dominating win over the Tennessee Titans in which they led the entire game after their initial drive. However, they are coming off back-to-back losses to Green Bay and Detroit. Both losses were one-score games, and New York squandered early leads in both. They will likely be without Breece Hall, who was injured last week, but Braelon Allen should be more than serviceable in his spot. Geno Smith is off to a solid start this season and has completed 75% of his passes and thrown 4 touchdowns to 0 interceptions.

Chicago Bears vs New York Jets Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
8 Chicago Bears
0.667 3 2 1
26 New York Jets
0.333 3 1 2

Chicago Bears and New York Jets Latest Matches

Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
27 :  7
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
3 :  9
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
37 :  59
Chicago Bears

Jan 18, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
17 :  20
Los Angeles Rams

Jan 10, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
31 :  27
Green Bay Packers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
16 :  19
Detroit Lions
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
27 :  7
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
3 :  9
Minnesota Vikings

Jan 18, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
17 :  20
Los Angeles Rams

Jan 10, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
31 :  27
Green Bay Packers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
16 :  19
Detroit Lions

Dec 20, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
22 :  16
Green Bay Packers
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
37 :  59
Chicago Bears

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
42 :  38
Chicago Bears

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
28 :  21
Chicago Bears

Nov 28, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
15 :  24
Chicago Bears

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
17 :  19
Chicago Bears

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
42 :  47
Chicago Bears
New York Jets
New York Jets Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  24
New York Jets

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

New York Jets
17 :  20
Green Bay Packers

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
10 :  23
New York Jets

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  8
New York Jets

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  42
New England Patriots

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
29 :  6
New York Jets
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

New York Jets
17 :  20
Green Bay Packers

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  42
New England Patriots

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  20
Cleveland Browns

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
6 :  13
Carolina Panthers
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  24
New York Jets

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
10 :  23
New York Jets

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  8
New York Jets

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
29 :  6
New York Jets

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
48 :  20
New York Jets

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
23 :  10
New York Jets
Chicago Bears vs New York Jets Picks

Chicago Bears - New York Jets Key Points

  1. Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games overall.
  2. Over is 8-1 in Jets last 9 games in Week 4.
  3. Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games as an underdog.
  4. Over is getting only 30% of money bet.

Our Chicago Bears vs New York Jets Prediction

The public looks like they are rather heavy on the under in this matchup. On paper, you would expect that with Geno Smith going against Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum. However, we like this spot to fade the public and rely on the Bears' defense letting up a bit after a strong performance last week. We also believe the short week is going to work against the Bears, and they will be playing catch-up a bit.

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs New York Jets: Over 42.5

Prediction:

 

Over 42.5

-115
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.