Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Minnesota Vikings
10/4/26 16:05
Miami Dolphins

Prediction:

 

Vikings to win and under 38.5 points

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 by Simon Day | in NFL Picks

The unbeaten Minnesota Vikings are huge favorites to move to 4-0 this Sunday, as they take on the 0-3 Miami Dolphins at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Vikes' early season success has been built on an elite tier D that has already racked up 14 sacks. On the other side of the ball, Minnesota's offense hasn't quite hit top form yet, but thanks to a +4 turnover differential, Justin Jefferson and co have been able to put up enough points to get the job done. 

In contrast to the Vikings' excellent start, Miami have been way off the pace in their opening three games. New QB Malik Willis has struggled to build any rapport with this limited receiving corps, while the Dolphins' D looks severely lacking in top-level playmakers. There's a long way to go, but the Dolphins already look favorites to be first on the clock at next year's draft. 

Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Minnesota Vikings
1 3 3 0
32 Miami Dolphins
0 3 0 3

Minnesota Vikings and Miami Dolphins Latest Matches

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
3 :  9
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
39 :  22
Green Bay Packers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
16 :  3
Green Bay Packers

Dec 25, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  10
Detroit Lions

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
13 :  16
Minnesota Vikings
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
39 :  22
Green Bay Packers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
16 :  3
Green Bay Packers

Dec 25, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  10
Detroit Lions

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
31 :  0
Washington Commanders

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
17 :  19
Chicago Bears

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
19 :  27
Baltimore Ravens
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
3 :  9
Minnesota Vikings

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
13 :  16
Minnesota Vikings

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
26 :  34
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
26 :  0
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
23 :  6
Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10 :  24
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
35 :  13
Miami Dolphins

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
27 :  13
Miami Dolphins

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
38 :  10
Miami Dolphins

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
20 :  17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  45
Cincinnati Bengals
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2026 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10 :  24
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
20 :  17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  45
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
16 :  13
Washington Commanders

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
30 :  13
Buffalo Bills
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
35 :  13
Miami Dolphins

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
27 :  13
Miami Dolphins

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

New England Patriots
38 :  10
Miami Dolphins

Dec 15, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
28 :  15
Miami Dolphins

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins
Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins Picks

Minnesota Vikings - Miami Dolphins Key Points

  1. Miami have lost 6 of their last 7 games
  2. The Vikings have conceded just 19 points in their last 2 games
  3. The Dolphins have scored under 14 points in all 3 of their games this season
  4. The Vikings are on a 9 game winning run

Our Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

This looks like a complete mismatch between two sides moving in completely opposite directions. The Vikings have arguably the best defense in the entire NFL, and the Dolphins clearly have the most limited offense in football. 

As such, it would be a surprise to see the Dolphins reach double figures on Sunday. And whilst Minnesota's offense isn't quite as impressive as their defense, they should have no trouble at all putting points on a severely limited Miami D. 

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins is: Vikings to win and under 38.5 points. 

Prediction:

 

Vikings to win and under 38.5 points

+130
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.