Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
10/3/26 12:00
Alabama Crimson Tide

Prediction:

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5 Alternate Spread

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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks

A huge College Football slate is scheduled for Week 5 on Saturday, one of which will feature an SEC matchup between the 7th-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide and the 16th-ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Crimson Tide and the Bulldogs.

Alabama enters this game with a record of 4-0 and 2-0 in the SEC. The Crimson Tide are coming off a 49-18 win over the South Carolina Gamecocks in Week 4. Alabama dominated South Carolina from the start, producing 489 yards of offense while allowing 419 yards. The Tide have overall been impressive this season; however, they will be facing a much improved Mississippi State team on the road, which could give them trouble.

As for Mississippi State, they also enter this game with a record of 4-0 and 2-0 in the SEC. The Bulldogs are coming off a 31-24 win over the Missouri Tigers in Week 4, in which they gained 499 yards of offense while allowing 414 yards. Mississippi State has already looked like one of the most improved teams from last season, and with that, they look likely to give Alabama a true test.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Form

Table

Mississippi State Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide Latest Matches

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
31 :  24
Missouri Tigers

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

South Carolina Gamecocks
34 :  41
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Minnesota Golden Gophers
13 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
62 :  13
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Mississippi State Bulldogs
29 :  43
Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
19 :  38
Ole Miss Rebels
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
31 :  24
Missouri Tigers

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
62 :  13
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Mississippi State Bulldogs
29 :  43
Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
19 :  38
Ole Miss Rebels

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
21 :  41
Georgia Bulldogs

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
38 :  45
Texas Longhorns
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

South Carolina Gamecocks
34 :  41
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Minnesota Golden Gophers
13 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
49 :  27
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Arkansas Razorbacks
35 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
23 :  21
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  9
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
49 :  18
South Carolina Gamecocks

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
50 :  36
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Kentucky Wildcats
17 :  45
Alabama Crimson Tide

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
48 :  10
East Carolina Pirates

Jan 1, 2026 - NCAA

Indiana Hoosiers
38 :  3
Alabama Crimson Tide

Dec 19, 2025 - NCAA

Oklahoma Sooners
24 :  34
Alabama Crimson Tide
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
49 :  18
South Carolina Gamecocks

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
50 :  36
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
48 :  10
East Carolina Pirates

Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
7 :  28
Georgia Bulldogs

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
56 :  0
Eastern Illinois Panthers

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
21 :  23
Oklahoma Sooners
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Kentucky Wildcats
17 :  45
Alabama Crimson Tide

Jan 1, 2026 - NCAA

Indiana Hoosiers
38 :  3
Alabama Crimson Tide

Dec 19, 2025 - NCAA

Oklahoma Sooners
24 :  34
Alabama Crimson Tide

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
20 :  27
Alabama Crimson Tide

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

South Carolina Gamecocks
22 :  29
Alabama Crimson Tide

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
24 :  27
Alabama Crimson Tide
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Picks

Mississippi State Bulldogs - Alabama Crimson Tide Key Points

  1. Alabama is averaging 48.0 points per game this season
  2. Alabama is allowing 20.3 points per game this season
  3. Mississippi State is averaging 43.0 points per game this season
  4. Mississippi State is allowing 21.0 points per game this season

Our Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction

Alabama is nearly a touchdown favorite; however, Mississippi State looks to be the best betting option. This matchup has the makings of a high-scoring game, as the Tide are averaging 48.0 points per game, while the Bulldogs are averaging 43.0 points per game. 

Alabama has the advantage in terms of defense, as they are allowing just 20.3 points per game. However, Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor has been electric this season, leading the country with 14 touchdown passes.

Ultimately, Alabama looks likely to win this game, but with a confident Mississippi State team playing at home, our Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction is: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5 Alternate Spread.

Prediction:

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5 Alternate Spread

-158
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.