Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
2/21/26 10:00
Burnley

Prediction:

 

Jaidon Anthony 1+ Shots on Target

+150
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Following their road win in the FA Cup, the Blues will return to play in front of a home crowd on Saturday, getting back down to business in the English Premier League against relegation-threatened Burnley. The hosts come into this game unbeaten in three, though they were disappointingly held to a tie by Leeds when they last played in the league, so new boss Liam Rosenior will likely be looking for an improved display. 

An improved display is definitely what the Clarets delivered when last in league action, coming from behind to get the better of Crystal Palace, securing victory for the first time in the league since October. Unfortunately, that win did not act as a platform for further success. Last time out, Saturday's visitors were dumped out of the FA Cup by third-division Mansfield. 

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Chelsea vs Burnley Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Chelsea
52 38 14 10 14 +6
19 Burnley
22 38 4 10 24 -37

Chelsea and Burnley Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W W L W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - FA Cup

Hull
0 :  4
Chelsea

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Chelsea

Feb 3, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
West Ham

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Chelsea
D L W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
West Ham

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Pafos FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Brentford

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - FA Cup

Hull
0 :  4
Chelsea

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Chelsea

Feb 3, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Chelsea
Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
D L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Mansfield Town

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  3
Burnley

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
West Ham

Feb 2, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
Burnley

Jan 30, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
1 :  3
Reading

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Tottenham
W D D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Mansfield Town

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
West Ham

Jan 30, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
1 :  3
Reading

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Tottenham

Jan 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
1 :  1
Tottenham Hotspur FC

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Burnley
5 :  1
Millwall
L L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  3
Burnley

Feb 2, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
Burnley

Jan 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Burnley

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Manchester City FC
8 :  1
Burnley

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  0
Burnley

Chelsea against Burnley : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

67 %

Draw

33 %

Burnley

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 30, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Burnley

Oct 7, 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 5, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  4
Chelsea

Nov 6, 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 31, 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Burnley

Chelsea against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
24
R. James
29
W. Fofana
23
T. Chalobah
27
M. Gusto
17
A. Santos
25
M. Caicedo
10
C. Palmer
8
E. Fernandez
7
P. Neto
20
Joao Pedro
19
Z. Flemming
11
J. Anthony
10
M. Edwards
12
B. Humphreys
28
H. Mejbri
8
L. Ugochukwu
2
K. Walker
5
M. Esteve
4
J. Worrall
29
J. Laurent
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Burnley

Substitutes

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

G. Slonina

Defender

J. Hato

M. Gusto 80'

M. Sarr

P. Neto 88'

J. Acheampong

R. James 88'

T. Adarabioyo

C. Palmer 74'

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

L. Delap

Joao Pedro 80'

A. Garnacho

M. Guiu

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

M. Weiss

Defender

L. Pires

K. Walker 46'

Q. Hartman

H. Ekdal

Midfielder

F. Luis

J. Ward Prowse

L. Ugochukwu 57'

Forward

A. Barnes

J. Anthony 84'

L. Tchaouna

B. Humphreys 83'

J. Bruun Larsen

J. Laurent 79'

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

F. Jorgensen

Defender

L. Colwill

Forward

M. Mudryk

J. Gittens

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

A. Tuanzebe

J. Beyer

Midfielder

J. Cullen

Forward

M. Tresor

A. Broja

Z. Amdouni

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (11 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (6 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (5 Assists)

Chelsea - Burnley Key Points

  1. Last time out in the EPL, Jaidon Anthony found the back of the net.
  2. Jaidon Anthony has taken 12 shots in his last six EPL fixtures.
  3. This season, Jaidon Anthony has registered shots on target against the likes of Man United (x2), Spurs (x2) and Man City.
  4. No Burnley player has taken more EPL shots than Jaidon Anthony this season.
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Our Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

This may be a tough game for Burnley, but at odds of +150, I am all over Jaidon Anthony to register at least one shot on target for the visitors. The pacey forward will arrive in Stamford Bridge in fine form having scored last time out, while let's face it, the Clarets wouldn't be the first struggling team to cause the Blues problems in recent weeks.

Anthony has been getting himself into lots of promising positions in recent weeks, while he's a clear threat on the break, and that bodes well ahead of a game where the visitors will have lots of space to break into. Given his recent efforts and overall numbers, odds of +150 are just too good to turn down. 

Our Chelsea vs Burnley Pick: Jaidon Anthony 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Jaidon Anthony 1+ Shots on Target

+150
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Burnley Picks