Brighton vs Brentford Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton
11/8/26 09:00
Brentford

Prediction:

 

Kevin Schade 1+ Shots on Target

−115
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

On Sunday, there's EPL action at Amex Stadium, where an in-form Brighton team will be looking to continue building momentum by defeating a Brentford team that bounced back to form with a win against Nottingham Forest last time out. It's been a solid start to the campaign for both teams, with both approaching fixture as top-six outfits. With a win, the Seagulls could potentially move into second, while the Bees could go fourth if they return from the south coast with all three points. 

The early market has Kevin Schade priced at -115 to register a shot on target in this fixture, which looks too generous for our money. The German is at his best on the break in games of this nature, so much so that he should be priced closer to -133. Anything bigger should be taken by those searching for some all-important value for money. 

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Brighton vs Brentford Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Brighton
19 9 6 1 2 +17
6 Brentford
14 9 3 5 1 +7

Brighton and Brentford Latest Matches

Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
W D L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 5, 2026 - Conference League

Getafe
0 :  1
Brighton

Oct 31, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  1
Brighton

Oct 28, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

Oct 25, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Oct 22, 2026 - Conference League

FK Jablonec
0 :  0
Brighton

Oct 18, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
5 :  0
Crystal Palace
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

Oct 15, 2026 - Conference League

Brighton
4 :  0
FK Zalgiris Kaunas

Sep 19, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Arsenal

Sep 5, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Leeds

Aug 27, 2026 - Conference League

Brighton
4 :  0
Tromsoe IL

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa
W D L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Nov 5, 2026 - Conference League

Getafe
0 :  1
Brighton

Oct 31, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  1
Brighton

Oct 28, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

Oct 25, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Oct 22, 2026 - Conference League

FK Jablonec
0 :  0
Brighton

Oct 10, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  2
Brighton
Brentford
Brentford Latest matches
W D L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 28, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Sunderland
3 :  2
Brentford

Oct 25, 2026 - Premier League

Hull
1 :  1
Brentford

Oct 17, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  2
Liverpool

Oct 10, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brentford

Sep 18, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Chelsea
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 17, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  2
Liverpool

Sep 18, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Chelsea

Sep 5, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Sunderland

Aug 22, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Tottenham

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brentford
7 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt
D D W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 28, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Sunderland
3 :  2
Brentford

Oct 25, 2026 - Premier League

Hull
1 :  1
Brentford

Oct 10, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brentford

Sep 15, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Reading
1 :  2
Brentford

Sep 12, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Brentford

Aug 30, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Brentford

Brighton against Brentford : Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

50 %

Draw

33 %

Brentford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  2
Brighton

Dec 27, 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Brentford

Apr 3, 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Brighton

Dec 6, 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford
Brighton vs Brentford Picks

Brentford v Brighton last Lineups

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
B. Verbruggen
20
Costinha
30
M. Svoboda
5
L. Dunk
3
J. Hadjam
13
P. Gross
21
O. Boscagli
26
Y. Ayari
35
M. Yalcouye
10
G. Rutter
8
J. Hinshelwood
9
I. Thiago
7
K. Schade
8
M. Jensen
11
D. Ouattara
27
V. Janelt
18
M. Sangare
23
K. Lewis-Potter
20
K. Ajer
4
S. Van den Berg
33
M. Kayode
1
C. Kelleher

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brentford

Substitutes

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

T. McGill

Defender

M. De Cuyper

L. Vuskovic

Midfielder

M. O'Riley

Y. Ibrahim

D. Gomez

S. Nti

Forward

I. Osman

C. Kostoulas

Brentford
Brentford
Goalkeeper

H. Valdimarsson

Defender

E. Diouf

A. Hickey

N. Collins

J. Schuster

Midfielder

M. Damsgaard

Forward

C. Wilson

G. Nunes

J. Anthony

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

F. Kadioglu

P. Struijk

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

F. Azeez

Forward

E. Ferguson

S. Tzimas

Z. Yohanna

Brentford
Brentford
Defender

R. Henry

Midfielder

J. Da Silva

F. Carvalho

A. Milambo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Brentford
Top Goalscorer
England J. Hinshelwood (3 Goals) , 
Germany P. Gross (3 Goals) , 
Sweden Y. Ayari (3 Goals) , 
Greece C. Kostoulas (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Schade (3 Goals)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (4 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Anthony (2 Assists) , 
Brazil I. Thiago (2 Assists)

Brighton and Brentford Stats in Premier League

Brighton
Brighton
Brentford
Brentford
67%
Wins
33%
22%
Losses
11%
11%
Draws
56%
3.44
Average goals per match
2.78
2.67
Goals scored per match
1.78
0.78
Goals conceded per match
1
44%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
67%
No goals conceded
33%
22%
Both score
67%

Brighton - Brentford Key Points

  1. In his last two away games for Brentford, Kevin Schade has taken five shots.
  2. In his last four away games for Brentford, Kevin Schade has registered four shots on target.
  3. On the road this season, per 90 minutes, Kevin Schade averages 1.24 shots on target.
  4. Only Igor Thiago has taken more shots for Brentford in the EPL than Kevin Schade this season.
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Our Brighton vs Brentford Prediction

There's no doubt about it, playing on the road, where his team can hit on the break, suits Kevin Schade. The German has delivered some of this best offensive performances away from home this term, most notably scoring two goals away to Bournemouth and one goal away to Leeds. 

As we can see from the stats above, Schade averages an impressive 1.24 shots on target per 90 minutes on the road this term, which really does make a price of -115 look generous. 

Our Brighton vs Brentford Pick: Kevin Schade 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Kevin Schade 1+ Shots on Target

−115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.