Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Aston Villa
12/6/25 07:30
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-130
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Premier League Picks

Premier League leaders Arsenal travel to Villa Park to face third-placed Aston Villa in Saturday's opening match. Arteta's impressive Gunners are not only favorites to beat the Villans, but after 15 matchdays, they also remain the top bookmakers' favorites to win their first Premier League title since the 2003/2004 season, with odds of 1.44.

Arsenal defeated Brentford in their last match; Merino opened the scoring for the Gunners in the 11th minute, and Saka sealed the 2-0 victory as the game drew to a close. That was Arsenal's tenth win of the season, keeping Manchester City five points behind. Remarkably, Arsenal is conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game in the Premier League this season while also extending its unbeaten run to 18 matches.

But Aston Villa also fought hard last Wednesday in an unpredictable match, emerging victorious. Emery's men handed Brighton their first defeat at the Amex Stadium. The final score was 4-3 in favor of the Lions; Watkins came back from 0-2 down to 2-2 just before halftime with a brace, and Onana and Malen added goals in the second half to lift them to third place in the Premier League.

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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Arsenal
Arsenal
49 21 15 4 2 +26
3
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
43 21 13 4 4 +9

Aston Villa and Arsenal Latest Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  4
Aston Villa

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Wolves

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
BSC Young Boys

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Wolves

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
BSC Young Boys

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  4
Aston Villa

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Bayern Munich

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Tottenham

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  3
Arsenal
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Bayern Munich

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Tottenham

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  3
Arsenal

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Arsenal

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Aston Villa against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

33 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Aston Villa

Aug 24, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 14, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Dec 9, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Arsenal

Feb 18, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Arsenal

Aug 31, 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
E. Martinez
2
M. Cash
4
E. Konsa
14
P. Torres
22
I. Maatsen
44
B. Kamara
24
A. Onana
7
J. McGinn
8
Y. Tielemans
27
M. Rogers
11
O. Watkins
10
E. Eze
23
M. Merino
7
B. Saka
41
D. Rice
36
M. Zubimendi
8
M. Odegaard
33
R. Calafiori
5
P. Hincapie
12
J. Timber
4
B. White
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Substitutes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

Defender

L. Digne

V. Lindelof

P. Torres 87'

Midfielder

L. Bogarde

B. Kamara 75'

A. Garcia

G. Hemmings

E. Buendia

M. Cash 87'

Forward

D. Malen

O. Watkins 66'

J. Sancho

J. McGinn 75'

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

M. Salmon

Midfielder

M. Lewis-Skelly

R. Calafiori 86'

L. Trossard

E. Eze 46'

C. Norgaard

Forward

V. Gyokeres

M. Merino 46'

N. Madueke

B. Saka 79'

G. Martinelli

L. Trossard 86'

E. Nwaneri

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

R. Barkley

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

W. Saliba

C. Mosquera

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (7 Goals)
England M. Rogers (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (5 Goals) Belgium L. Trossard (5 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Rogers (4 Assists)
Belgium Y. Tielemans (4 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (4 Assists)

Aston Villa - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Aston Villa has not scored in the first 15 minutes of a league match this season
  2. Saka has contributed to three goals in his last three games for Arsenal
  3. Three of the last four Arsenal-Aston Villa matches have had fewer than 2.5 goals
  4. Saka, Gyokeres, and Eze are three Arsenal players with four Premier League goals this season
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Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction

No team has taken more points than Arsenal's 14 from seven away games this season, but it's also true that Arsenal's scoring prowess is diminished away from the Emirates Stadium, so much so that they failed to score in both the first and second halves of any of their seven Premier League away matches this year.

Even so, Arteta's Arsenal has managed to combine the frenetic pace of the Premier League with its organized system for dropping back in defense; Aston Villa will need more than usual to breach Raya's goal.

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Aston Villa is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-130
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Picks