Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks
One of the more high-profile English Premier League fixtures due to take place on Tuesday evening will happen at Emirates Stadium, where the Gunners will be looking to pick up another win. Attempting to stop Mikel Arteta's table toppers will be Aston Villa. Fresh from their comeback win at Stamford Bridge, the Villans go in search of what would be a 12th straight victory in all competitions. In other words, Tuesday's visitors are in hot form, there can be no denying that.
The Gunners also approach this fixture having won with regularity in recent weeks, securing victory in each of their last three league games, while they also recently reached the semi finals of the EFL Cup. Having defeated Brighton by two goals to one at the weekend, the hosts will surely fancy themselves to pick up another three points, which would keep them clear at the top of the table, though beating Aston Villa won't be easy. An interesting game awaits.
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
Arsenal and Aston Villa Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup
Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup
Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 11, 2025 - Europa League
Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League
Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 11, 2025 - Europa League
Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League
Arsenal against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League
Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League
Aug 24, 2024 - Premier League
Apr 14, 2024 - Premier League
Dec 9, 2023 - Premier League
Feb 18, 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
E. Eze
M. Lewis-Skelly
C. Norgaard
K. Havertz
G. Jesus
N. Madueke
G. Martinelli
J. Wright
M. Bizot
DefenderL. Routh
I. Maatsen
MidfielderG. Hemmings
A. Garcia
J. Jimoh-Aloba
J. McGinn
D. Malen
Missing players
R. Calafiori
C. Mosquera
M. Cash
MidfielderB. Kamara
ForwardE. Guessand
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Aston Villa
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
Arsenal - Aston Villa Key Points
- Morgan Rogers has registered four shots on target in his last four away EPL games for Aston Villa.
- In his last five games in all competitions, Morgan Rogers has registered six shots on target.
- In his last two away games in the league, Morgan Rogers has taken seven shots.
- When the teams met earlier in December, Morgan Rogers registered a shot on target.
- No Aston Villa player has taken more EPL shots than Morgan Rogers this season.
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Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction
Quite simply, in the early betting, Morgan Rogers is too generously priced to reigster a shot on target. Odds of +125 offer value for money, it's as simple as that. The English forward comes alive in big games and will also love playing on the break against Arsenal. It's also worth mentioning that Villa are typically at their best in big games of this nature, where they're afforded space to break.
Moreover, Rogers will go Emirates Stadium off the back of a fine performance at Stamford Bridge, while he's been testing opposing keepers on a regular basis of late, registering five shots on target in his last three appearances. Such a stat suggests that a price of +125 is not a fair reflection of his shot-on-target chances here.
Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa Pick: Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
