Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Puebla
9/15/26 21:00
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Toluca -1.5.

+152
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

Toluca has returned to the top of Mexican soccer; some are beginning to consider them another of Mexico's giants given the trophies they've won in the last three years. Mohamed's team dominated and thrashed Atlas 5-2 with goals from Vega, Angulo, Viñas, and Paulinho. They will also be favorites when they visit Puebla next Tuesday.

Toluca climbed to the top of the Liga MX standings with the resounding victory against Atlas, which came just six days after Vega and Helinho scored for Toluca to secure the Leagues Cup title in the United States.

Toluca looks like an organized, well-cohesive team, dynamic in attack, and resilient enough to withstand the game's low points. Puebla itself has felt Toluca's rise, as they haven't beaten them since 2023; the Red Devils are undefeated in five consecutive matches against La Franja, including 5-0 and 3-0 victories.

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Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Deportivo Toluca FC
16 7 5 1 1 +11
7 Puebla
13 7 4 1 2 +1

Puebla and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Puebla
Puebla Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  0
Puebla

Aug 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Aug 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  3
Puebla

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

San Diego FC
3 :  2
Puebla

Aug 9, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Austin FC
3 :  0
Puebla
D D L L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Jul 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Chivas

Apr 24, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  2
Queretaro

Apr 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Club Leon

Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
FC Juarez

Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Club Necaxa
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  0
Puebla

Aug 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  3
Puebla

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

San Diego FC
3 :  2
Puebla

Aug 9, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Austin FC
3 :  0
Puebla

Aug 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Portland Timbers
5 :  2
Puebla
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Atlas FC

Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Monterrey

Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
FC Juarez

Aug 26, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Austin FC

Aug 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Atlas FC

Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Monterrey

Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
FC Juarez

Aug 26, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Austin FC

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Dallas
L L L W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles FC
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
4 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Puebla against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Puebla

0 %

Draw

33 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Mar 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 22, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  0
Puebla

Jan 26, 2024 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 7, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC
Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks

Deportivo Toluca FC v Puebla last Lineups

Puebla

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

28
R. Gutierrez
12
I. Moreno
5
F. Almada
4
J. Vargas
7
F. Monarrez
24
A. Organista
21
S. Sanabria Ortega
27
B. Garnica
26
K. Velasco
22
C. Baltazar Agraz
8
O. Moreno
16
F. Vinas
9
A. Vega
10
R. Angulo
11
Helinho
8
N. Castro
5
F. Romero
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
4
B. Mendez
2
D. Zaragoza
12
R. Beltran

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Substitutes

Puebla
Puebla
Goalkeeper

J. Rodriguez

Defender

A. Leyva

R. Pachuca

O. Villa

Midfielder

L. Camilo

A. de la Rosa Burgos

A. Ramirez

A. Herrera

M. Tomas

Forward

I. Maestro Puch

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

D. Shrem

Defender

A. Briseno

Luan

E. del Villar

Midfielder

F. Arce

V. Guzman

S. Aceves

Forward

O. Virgen

Paulinho

P. Perez

Missing players

Puebla
Puebla
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

S. Simon

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Puebla
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Mexico E. Mustre Torres (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay F. Vinas (3 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Herrera (2 Assists)
Mexico B. Garnica (2 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Helinho (2 Assists)

Puebla and Deportivo Toluca FC Stats in Liga MX

Puebla
Puebla
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
57%
Wins
71%
29%
Losses
14%
14%
Draws
14%
2.71
Average goals per match
3.29
1.43
Goals scored per match
2.43
1.29
Goals conceded per match
0.86
57%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
43%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
29%
No goals conceded
43%
57%
Both score
57%

Puebla - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Toluca generated a high xG of 2.12 against Atlas
  2. Toluca is undefeated in its last 8 matches
  3. Toluca has a goal difference of +11 this season
  4. Puebla failed to create any big chances in their match against Necaxa
Up to $350 to bet on Puebla - Deportivo Toluca FC! 

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Our Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

Puebla isn't exactly struggling; accustomed to fighting among the bottom five in the Mexican league, today, after 7 matchdays, they find themselves in a playoff position, following their resurgence after a forgettable Leagues Cup run, returning to Mexican soil to defeat Pachuca, Santos, and Necaxa.

Even so, Toluca looks like a well-oiled goal-scoring machine, capable of easily and quickly breaking down any defensive lock.

Our prediction for Puebla vs Toluca is: Toluca -1.5.

Prediction:

 

Toluca -1.5.

+152
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.