Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks
The last part of Monterrey’s regular-season calendar will be demanding, as all three games will be played on the road and will require the team to secure as many points as possible to earn a playoff spot. However, the first will take place this Saturday night in Toluca, a venue that has historically given Monterrey headaches because of the altitude and Toluca’s performance.
Furthermore, this will be a must-win game for Toluca, as Antonio Mohamed’s team has failed to secure a victory in its last seven Liga MX games. With that goal in mind, one of Toluca’s top priorities should be to dramatically improve its defense, as it conceded two or more goals in three of its last five games, so Bruno Méndez and Federico Pereira are expected to become a human wall in this game.
Meanwhile, Monterrey wasted its chance to secure at least one victory in its last two home games of the regular season, so there’s general upset among its fans, especially after it couldn't handle the advantage it had over Tijuana a couple of times. That said, it will be difficult for players like Lucas Ocampos and Hugo Cuypers to have a brilliant performance at Nemesio Diez Stadium, as they are far from being fast-paced players.
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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
24 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +10 |
|
9
|
21 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 |
Deportivo Toluca FC and Monterrey Latest Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 24, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 9, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 20, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup
Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 24, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 9, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Sep 26, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 24, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 24, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 25, 2026 - Liga MX
Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup
Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup
Aug 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Monterrey : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup
Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX
Monterrey v Deportivo Toluca FC last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
H. Gonzalez Duran
DefenderD. Barbosa
Luan
E. Lopez
B. Garcia
MidfielderJ. Angulo Uriarte
E. Gutierrez
ForwardA. Vega
Paulinho
P. Perez
L. Cardenas
DefenderD. Aceves
E. Aguirre
S. Medina
MidfielderF. Ambriz
I. Fimbres
R. Tamez
J. Rodriguez
ForwardA. De Nigris
L. Orellano
Missing players
M. Ruiz
Most goals and assists
Deportivo Toluca FC
Monterrey
F. Vinas
(8 Goals)
L. Ocampos
(7 Goals)
Helinho
(7 Assists)
O. Torres
(5 Assists)
Deportivo Toluca FC and Monterrey Stats in Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC - Monterrey Key Points
- Toluca conceded two or more goals in three of its last four home games despite facing teams that aren’t considered top performers in the league like Tijuana, Atlas, and Santos Laguna.
- Monterrey kept a clean sheet in only one of its last five road games in Liga MX.
- Toluca scored two or more goals in its last four home meetings against Monterrey.
- Monterrey scored at least one goal in its last four road meetings against Toluca, as its last 2-0 loss didn’t take place at Nemesio Diez Stadium.
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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Prediction
Given these facts, this game will likely be the perfect chance for Toluca to end its terrible winless streak at home, as Monterrey is again expected to struggle with the altitude, its slow pace, and the pressure to find its way back to the playoff spots quickly.
In conclusion, Toluca will need an early goal to give the team the chance to manage the game with tranquility for the first time in months. Nevertheless, the task won’t be easy as Monterrey is fighting for survival in the competition. Therefore, the pick for Deportivo Toluca FC – CF Monterrey is: 1st Half Betting - Toluca!
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