Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
10/3/26 19:00
Ottawa Senators

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5

-130
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 by Bill Christy in NHL Picks

The Ottawa Senators will kick off their season tonight on the road in Toronto. The Maple Leafs have already played 2 games and are sitting at 1-1 currently.

Toronto came out of the gate with a loss to the Montreal Canadiens. They took an early 1-0 lead but allowed 3 goals to fall behind 3-1 late in the 3rd period. They were able to get within one goal with just under 5 minutes but were unable to force overtime. In their 2nd game, they were able to get the early lead once again but this time they held onto it. They scored 2 in the 1st period and held off the Islanders as they scored one late in the 3rd. Anthony Stolarz stopped 26 of the 27 shots he faced in helping the Leafs grab their 1st win.

Ottawa will be looking to start this season better than how their season ended last year. The Senators were swept in 4 games against the Carolina Hurricanes in the opening round of the playoffs. Granted, the Canes went on to win the Cup, but it was still a disappointing performance in the postseason. Linus Ullmark will be in net for Ottawa tonight and he will look to build on a 28-12 record last season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
15 Toronto Maple Leafs
2 2 1 1 0
22 Ottawa Senators
0 0 0 0 0

Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators Latest Matches

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 30, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  1
New York Islanders

Sep 29, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
3 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 13, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  6
Dallas Stars

Apr 11, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  6
Florida Panthers

Apr 9, 2026 - NHL

New York Islanders
5 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 30, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  1
New York Islanders

Sep 29, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 13, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  6
Dallas Stars

Apr 11, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  6
Florida Panthers

Apr 8, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
0 :  4
Washington Capitals

Mar 25, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  3
New York Rangers
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
3 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 9, 2026 - NHL

New York Islanders
5 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 4, 2026 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
7 :  6
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 2, 2026 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
4 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 30, 2026 - NHL

Anaheim Ducks
4 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 28, 2026 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
5 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 25, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
2 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 23, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
1 :  2
Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 20, 2026 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Apr 18, 2026 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
2 :  0
Ottawa Senators

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
3 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 12, 2026 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
4 :  3
Ottawa Senators
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 25, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
2 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 23, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
1 :  2
Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
3 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 9, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
5 :  1
Florida Panthers

Apr 7, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
6 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 5, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
6 :  3
Carolina Hurricanes
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 20, 2026 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Apr 18, 2026 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
2 :  0
Ottawa Senators

Apr 12, 2026 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
4 :  3
Ottawa Senators

Apr 11, 2026 - NHL

New York Islanders
0 :  3
Ottawa Senators

Mar 31, 2026 - NHL

Florida Panthers
6 :  3
Ottawa Senators

Mar 28, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs against Ottawa Senators : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Maple Leafs

33 %

Ottawa Senators

67 %

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
3 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 21, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 28, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Ottawa Senators

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  5
Ottawa Senators

May 1, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
2 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 26, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
4 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Picks

Players list

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs

A. Stolarz

S. Bobrovsky

J. McCabe

M. Rielly

C. Tanev

D. Raddysh

T. Stecher

O. Ekman-Larsson

C. Sissons

W. Nylander

J. Tavares

A. Matthews

J. Roslovic

E. Cowan

K. Marchenko

B. Groulx

B. Duhaime

T. Blueger

N. Paul

G. McKenna

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators

L. Ullmark

J. Reimer

C. Yakemchuk

T. Chabot

D. Gilbert

T. Kleven

J. Spence

N. Matinpalo

L. Eller

F. Zetterlund

W. Foegele

M. Amadio

N. Cousins

C. Giroux

D. Batherson

R. Greig

T. Stutzle

S. Pinto

D. Cozens

B. Tkachuk

Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators Key Points

  1. Under is 4-0-1 in Senators last 5 vs. Eastern Conference
  2. Under is 4-1 in Senators last 5 games.
  3. Under is 7-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
  4. Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 games.

Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction

Ullmark played well in the playoffs against Carolina, all things considered. He stopped 124 of the 133 shots he faced in that series, but the offense of the Senators was never really able to get going. We expect that lack of offense to continue here against the Leafs. Toronto has only allowed 4 goals through 2 games and should be able to keep Ottawa in check and help this total stay under the number.

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators: Under 6.5

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5

-130
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.