Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
11/22/25 12:00
SMU Mustangs

Prediction:

 

SMU Mustangs ML

-135
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NCAA Picks

One of the more intriguing games on the Week 13 College Football slate will see the Louisville Cardinals take on the SMU Mustangs in the ACC. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Cardinals and the Mustangs.

Louisville enters this game with a record of 7-3 and 4-3 in the ACC. The Cardinals most recently lost to the Clemson Tigers in Week 12 by a score of 20-19. Louisville’s offense had a total of 385 yards, while its defense allowed 308 yards. Quarterback Miller Moss threw for 212 yards, while running back Keyjuan Brown led the team in rushing with 135 yards.

As for SMU, they enter this game with a record of 7-3 and 5-1 in the ACC. The Mustangs most recently beat the Boston College Eagles in Week 11 by a score of 45-13. SMU’s offense had a total of 574 yards, while its defense allowed 390 yards. Quarterback Kevin Jennings threw for 326 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while running back T.J. Harden led the team in rushing with 130 yards.

Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
4
SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs
0.833 6 5 0 1
8
Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals
0.571 7 4 0 3

Louisville Cardinals and SMU Mustangs Latest Matches

Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 14, 2025 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
20 :  19
Louisville Cardinals

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

California Golden Bears
29 :  26
Louisville Cardinals

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
28 :  16
Virginia Tech Hokies

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Boston College Eagles
24 :  38
Louisville Cardinals

Oct 17, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
24 :  21
Miami Hurricanes

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
30 :  27
Louisville Cardinals
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 14, 2025 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
20 :  19
Louisville Cardinals

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

California Golden Bears
29 :  26
Louisville Cardinals

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Boston College Eagles
24 :  38
Louisville Cardinals

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
30 :  27
Louisville Cardinals

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Bowling Green Falcons
17 :  40
Louisville Cardinals

Sep 5, 2025 - NCAA

James Madison Dukes
14 :  28
Louisville Cardinals
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
28 :  16
Virginia Tech Hokies

Oct 17, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
24 :  21
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
34 :  27
Pittsburgh Panthers

Dec 31, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Louisville Cardinals
35 :  34
Washington Huskies

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
41 :  14
Kentucky Wildcats

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
24 :  31
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
45 :  13
Boston College Eagles

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
20 :  26
SMU Mustangs

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
12 :  13
Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
35 :  24
Clemson Tigers

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Stanford Cardinal
10 :  34
SMU Mustangs

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Syracuse Orange
18 :  31
SMU Mustangs
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
20 :  26
SMU Mustangs

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Stanford Cardinal
10 :  34
SMU Mustangs

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Syracuse Orange
18 :  31
SMU Mustangs

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Baylor Bears
48 :  45
SMU Mustangs

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

East Texas AM Lions
13 :  42
SMU Mustangs

Dec 7, 2024 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
34 :  31
SMU Mustangs
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
45 :  13
Boston College Eagles

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
12 :  13
Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
35 :  24
Clemson Tigers

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
24 :  35
TCU Horned Frogs

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
28 :  10
Missouri State Bears

Dec 21, 2024 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
10 :  38
Penn State Nittany Lions

Louisville Cardinals - SMU Mustangs Key Points

  1. Louisville is 3-4 ATS vs the ACC
  2. Louisville is averaging 28.4 points per game vs the ACC
  3. SMU is 4-2 ATS vs the ACC
  4. SMU is averaging 30.5 points per game vs the ACC

Our Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs Prediction

SMU is a small favorite in this game, but still looks to be the best betting option. The Mustangs have just one conference loss this season, a one-point loss to Wake Forest. That being said, they still have the opportunity to control their destiny in the ACC, and if they can win out, they will have a chance to play in the ACC Championship.

Louisville, on the other hand, once looked like a team that could play in the ACC Championship, but has since lost their last two games in a row. Losses to California and Clemson have seriously derailed their season, so with SMU playing much better at this point in time, our Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs prediction is: SMU Mustangs ML.

Prediction:

 

SMU Mustangs ML

-135
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs Picks