Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction & Picks - NFL

Prediction published on 11/16/25, 9:46 AM  by Erik Gibbs in NFL Picks

The Week 11 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium brings together two teams headed in very different directions. Los Angeles rolls into this game at 7-3 and riding the momentum of a convincing 25-10 win over Pittsburgh, a performance that highlighted their balance on both sides of the ball. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is looking to steady itself after dropping a 36-29 shootout to Houston, a loss that pushed them to 5-4 and exposed lingering defensive issues that have cropped up repeatedly this season.

The Chargers have quietly built one of the more efficient offenses in the league. They rank seventh in passing yards per game, leaning on a consistent aerial attack that complements a top-10 rushing offense. That balance has helped them average 24 points per contest, a number that keeps them competitive even when the pace quickens. Defensively, Los Angeles has also shown real stability. They sit eighth in scoring defense, keeping opponents to just over 20 points per game. That combination of steady quarterback play, a reliable run game, and a defense that rarely breaks makes them one of the more complete teams through ten weeks.

Jacksonville's statistical profile tells a different story. While the Jaguars sit near the league's midpoint in both passing and rushing yardage, they lack the sharp execution that separates contenders from teams still trying to find their rhythm. Their scoring offense is slightly below league average, and their defense has struggled to get off the field in key moments, allowing more than 24 points per game. Last week's collapse against Houston, where they allowed 26 points in the fourth quarter alone, highlights just how volatile this group can be. Injuries to several top receivers also cloud their offensive outlook heading into Sunday.