Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Denver Broncos
11/16/25 16:25
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction:

 

Denver Broncos +3.5

-105
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Matt Lowrimore | in NFL Picks

Perhaps the best game on the Week 11 NFL Sunday slate will see the Denver Broncos take on the Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC West matchup. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Broncos and the Chiefs.

Kansas City enters this game with a record of 5-4, having most recently lost to the Buffalo Bills in Week 9 by a score of 28-21. The Chiefs’ offense had a total of 305 yards, while its defense allowed 404 yards. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw 250 yards and one interception, while running back Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing with 49 yards and one touchdown.

As for Denver, they enter this game with a record of 8-2, having most recently beaten the Las Vegas Raiders by a score of 10-7 in Week 10. The Broncos’ offense had a total of 220 yards, while its defense allowed 188 yards. Quarterback Bo Nix threw for 150 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while running back J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing with 77 yards.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Denver Broncos
0.824 17 14 3
24 Kansas City Chiefs
0.353 17 6 11

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches

Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
10 :  7
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
15 :  18
Denver Broncos

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
44 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
33 :  32
New York Giants

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
11 :  13
Denver Broncos

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
17 :  21
Denver Broncos
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
10 :  7
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
44 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
33 :  32
New York Giants

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  3
Cincinnati Bengals

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  12
Tennessee Titans

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  0
Kansas City Chiefs
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
15 :  18
Denver Broncos

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
11 :  13
Denver Broncos

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
17 :  21
Denver Broncos

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
23 :  20
Denver Broncos

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
29 :  28
Denver Broncos

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  7
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  7
Washington Commanders

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
31 :  0
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
30 :  17
Detroit Lions

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
37 :  20
Baltimore Ravens
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  7
Washington Commanders

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
31 :  0
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
30 :  17
Detroit Lions

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
37 :  20
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
32 :  29
Buffalo Bills
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
9 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
40 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  0
Kansas City Chiefs

Denver Broncos against Kansas City Chiefs : Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Broncos

40 %

Kansas City Chiefs

60 %

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  0
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
16 :  14
Denver Broncos

Oct 29, 2023 - NFL

Denver Broncos
24 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 12, 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  8
Denver Broncos

Dec 11, 2022 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  34
Kansas City Chiefs

Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs: Form Analysis

The Chiefs had recently been riding a three-game winning streak, but ran into a buzzsaw in Buffalo in Week 9, losing by a touchdown. The good news is that Kansas City had a bye in Week 10 and will be rested when they try to inch closer to the division-leading Broncos.

“The Kansas City Chiefs are 1-3 straight up on the road this season.”

While Denver is riding a seven-game win streak, they have been a little inconsistent. Especially, their offense as they only scored 10 points against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10. That said, their defense has been relentless and has been a key factor for the Broncos during their win streak.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks

Denver Broncos & Kansas City Chiefs Squad Analysis

The Chiefs have plenty of standout players besides Patrick Mahomes, one of which includes Rashee Rice. He has played just three games this season and has four total touchdowns. Aside from Rice, Travis Kelce and Tyquan Thornton each have three rundowns, while Hollywood Brown has four touchdowns. 

“Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes has thrown for three touchdowns and two interceptions on the road.”

When it comes to Denver, Bo Nix has to be considered the standout player. Nix has thrown for 2,126 yards this season and has 18 passing touchdowns with eight interceptions.

Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. Kansas City is averaging 26.1 points per game this season
  2. Kansas City is allowing 17.7 points per game this season
  3. Denver is averaging 23.5 points per game this season
  4. Denver is allowing 17.3 points per game this season

Our Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

There is no real surprise that Kansas City is the short favorite in this crucial divisional game; however, Denver could be worth a look, given how they have played overall this season.

Admittedly, the Broncos looked poor in their most recent game against the Raiders. That being said, Denver continues to find ways to win.

Their defense has been the anchor this season, and could have success limiting a Chiefs’ offense that has had its fair share of struggles. The Chiefs have won just once on the road this season, and that was against a below-average New York Giants team. For that reason, our Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction is: Denver Broncos +3.5.

Prediction:

 

Denver Broncos +3.5

-105
$150 offered for betting!

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs - Other Interesting Picks

Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown

Odds +190

Our second pick for this game will target Troy Franklin, from the Denver Broncos, to score an anytime touchdown. Franklin is second on the Broncos in receiving yards with 425, but is first on the team with five receiving touchdowns.

Further, Franklin has scored four times over the last four games, including the only touchdown for Denver in the most recent game against the Raiders.

Franklin has started to emerge as one of Nix’s favorite targets; therefore, backing Franklin to score is our play.

$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.