Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL
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by Lou Aguila | in NFL Picks
The Kansas City Chiefs will try to take advantage of a surprisingly slim -3.0 points spread against the Atlanta Falcons, who have gone 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Current Form:
The Kansas City Chiefs snapped a two-game losing streak with a 35-12 win over the New York Jets. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 242 yards and two touchdowns, while Travis Kelce, Kenneth Walker III, and Emmet Johnson each scored a rushing TD. The Chiefs boast a dynamic offense that ranks No. 2 in total yards per game (384.1), No. 5 in rushing yards per game (137.8), and 10th in points per game (25.2).
The Atlanta Falcons have lost 4 of their last 5 games, falling to 3-6 in the season. After a scoreless effort against Tampa Bay 0-16 on November 1, the Falcons suffered another beatdown from the Cincinnati Bengals, 17-34. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. passed for 200 yards or less in each of their last two games. He also threw 5 of his last 6 interceptions in those two games.
The Matchup: The Chiefs are 3-0 vs. the Falcons in their last 3 meetings.
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Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
0.75 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
|
24
|
0.333 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
Atlanta Falcons and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches
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Atlanta Falcons against Kansas City Chiefs : Head to Head (H2H)
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Atlanta Falcons - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points
- The Chiefs are 3-3 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games against the Falcons.
- The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The Falcons are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
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Our Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
Key Stats: Aside from their top-10 offense, the Chiefs have the third-best defense in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.9). Kansas City also ranks 7th in passing yards allowed per game (210.4) and 4th in yards allowed per play (5.0).
Betting Analysis: The Chiefs’ swarming defense will create plenty of headaches for Michael Penix and the Falcons offensive line. This is a very winnable game for the Chiefs, who receive 69 percent of early bets to win and a 78.3 percent win rate, according to ESPN Match Predictor. And yet, Kansas City will only face a slim 3.0-point handicap against a Falcons team that went scoreless two weeks ago and got blown out by 17 points the other week.
Fearless Forecast: The Chiefs win 27-18
Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Atlanta Falcons: The Chiefs -3.0 points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
