Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Tyler Doty | in UEFA Nations League Picks
This Matchday 6 finale in Group 1 of League A of the Nations League feels like a knockout round. Belgium and Italy square off Sunday at 2:45 p.m. ET at King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels. Even sitting third in the group, the Red Devils are still alive for a quarterfinal ticket, trailing the two teams at the top of the table by just one point, including their opponent on Sunday. Mark van Bommel’s squad has no choice but to win this weekend.
Since a 2-0 loss to Belgium in their Nations League opener, Italy has shifted into another gear. The Azzurri have rattled off four straight matches without a defeat and are coming off a dominant 3-1 win over France. That run has them sitting atop the group heading into the final matchday. Roberto Mancini’s men now need to finish the job, and a draw is all they need to punch their ticket to the quarterfinals.
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Belgium vs Italy Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 |
|
3
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 |
Belgium and Italy Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jul 10, 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 21, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 15, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jul 10, 2026 - World Cup
Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup
Belgium against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Nov 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 10, 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 10, 2021 - UEFA Nations League
Jul 2, 2021 - Euro
Italy v Belgium last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Vandevoordt
M. Penders
DefenderK. Sabbe
J. Seys
J. Ndenge Kongolo
A. Theate
MidfielderM. Keita
H. Vanaken
ForwardM. Godts
D. Lukebakio
H. Cuypers
L. Trossard
G. Vicario
M. Carnesecchi
DefenderF. Dimarco
M. Palestra
D. Ghilardi
MidfielderI. Doumbia
A. Romano
S. Ricci
N. Fagioli
A. Vergara
ForwardG. Scamacca
L. Koleosho
Missing players
G. Mancini
Most goals and assists
Belgium
Italy
K. De Bruyne
(3 Goals)
F. Esposito
(4 Goals)
C. De Ketelaere
(2 Assists)
F. Esposito
(1 Assists)
,
N. Barella
(1 Assists)
,
A. Romano
(1 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(1 Assists)
,
N. Cambiaghi
(1 Assists)
Belgium and Italy Stats in UEFA Nations League
Belgium - Italy Key Points
- Belgium have scored in four of their first five Nations League matchdays.
- Both teams have scored in each of Belgium’s last two matches.
- Belgium must win to advance to the Nations League quarterfinals, so they could leave some space behind and give us a wide-open game.
- Both teams have scored in each of Italy’s last four matches.
- Italy has scored six goals across their last two matches.
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Our Belgium vs Italy Prediction
We should be in for a show at King Baudouin Stadium. Belgium has no choice on the final matchday of the group stage: they have to win to reach the quarterfinals. Italy, meanwhile, will almost certainly go for the win too, since it would lock up first place no matter what France does in their match against Turkey. Everything points to plenty of goals on Sunday night in Brussels.
Our Belgium vs Italy pick: Both teams to score: Yes.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
