France vs Turkiye Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

France
11/15/26 14:45
Turkiye

Prediction:

 

France Victory & Over 2.5 Goals

−210
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 by Tyler Doty | in UEFA Nations League Picks

Huge stakes for Les Bleus! On Matchday 6, the final round of Group 1 in League A of the Nations League, France hosts Turkey on Sunday at 2:45 p.m. ET at Stade Atlantique in Bordeaux. Just days after a 3-1 loss in Italy, Zinedine Zidane’s squad can’t afford another slip. A draw is enough for them to hold onto a top-two spot and punch their ticket to the quarterfinals, but they’ll still be pushing for the win in hopes of stealing first place in the group at the wire.

Turkey has nothing left to play for in this group stage finale. After five matchdays, they’re locked into last place and still haven’t picked up a single point. Newly appointed manager Sergen Yalcin will look to get his team back on track against one of the heavyweights of world soccer, but they’re facing a brutal assignment.

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France vs Turkiye Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 France
10 5 3 1 1 +3
4 Turkiye
0 5 0 0 5 -10

France and Turkiye Latest Matches

France
France Latest matches
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
France

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  1
Belgium

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
France

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jul 18, 2026 - World Cup

France
4 :  6
England
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  1
Belgium

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Jul 18, 2026 - World Cup

France
4 :  6
England

Jul 14, 2026 - World Cup

France
0 :  2
Spain

Jul 9, 2026 - World Cup

France
2 :  0
Morocco

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
France

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
France

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jul 4, 2026 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  1
France

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France
Turkiye
Turkiye Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  2
Belgium

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Turkiye

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 12, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  2
Belgium

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia
D W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Turkiye

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  2
Turkiye

France against Turkiye : Head to Head (H2H)

France

33 %

Draw

33 %

Turkiye

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Oct 14, 2019 - Euro

France
1 :  1
Turkiye

Jun 8, 2019 - Euro

Turkiye
2 :  0
France

France - Turkiye: Form Analysis

Les Bleus just took a major punch to the mouth. Under Zidane, they started the Nations League campaign strong, racking up 10 points through their first four matches. But they just suffered their first loss in Group 1, falling 3-1 in Milan with a chance to clinch a quarterfinal spot on the road.

It started well enough. Michael Olise opened the scoring in the 10th minute, but they were run down from there. Les Bleus were wasteful in the final third, hitting the woodwork multiple times, and they didn’t inspire confidence defensively. They’ll need at least a draw this weekend to secure their spot in the next round.

France needs a draw to lock up a quarterfinal berth.

The goals are very different for Turkey. After a disastrous 2026 World Cup, the Turks haven’t been able to turn things around in this edition of the Nations League, landing in a brutal group. It’s no coincidence they’re still searching for their first point after five matches.

Along with two losses to Italy (4-1 and 3-1) and two to Belgium (3-0 and 2-1), they fell 1-0 to France in the first meeting at home. They can’t climb out of last place after this final matchday, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t dreaming of an upset in Bordeaux. Yalcin took over for Vincenzo Montella a few weeks ago and is surely eyeing a statement win in his new role.

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France vs Turkiye Picks

Turkiye v France last Lineups

France

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
M. Maignan
2
M. Gusto
4
D. Upamecano
22
J. Jacquet
3
A. Truffert
7
R. Cherki
21
L. Da Cunha
14
A. Rabiot
11
M. Olise
20
D. Doue
12
B. Barcola
9
E. Unal
21
B. Yilmaz
8
A. Guler
17
Y. Akgun
6
O. Kokcu
16
I. Yuksek
20
F. Kadioglu
15
O. Kabak
3
M. Demiral
18
O. Aydin
1
U. Cakir

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Turkiye

Substitutes

France
France
Goalkeeper

R. Risser

G. Restes

Defender

I. Konate

L. Yoro

S. Kumbedi

Midfielder

E. Camavinga

A. Diouf

W. Zaire-Emery

S. Mayulu

Forward

E. Kroupi

P. Pagis

Turkiye
Turkiye
Goalkeeper

B. Ozer

E. Destanoglu

Defender

A. Kaplan

E. Elmali

Z. Celik

E. Topcu

Midfielder

I. Fakili

M. Eskihellac

H. Calhanoglu

S. Ozcan

Forward

C. Uzun

D. Gul

Missing players

France
France
Turkiye
Turkiye
Defender

Z. Celik

France & Turkiye Squad Analysis

The absences are piling up for Les Bleus. Jules Kounde, Pierre Kalulu, Maxence Lacroix, William Saliba, Aurelien Tchouameni, Manu Kone, Maghnes Akliouche, Ousmane Dembele and Marcus Thuram all missed out on this international break. To make matters worse, Zidane will also be without Dayot Upamecano, who left camp for personal reasons after the Italy match. They’ll need their remaining veterans to step up in the push for a quarterfinal berth. Mike Maignan is expected to start in goal again and will look to keep a clean sheet.

Fullbacks Malo Gusto and Adrien Truffert struggled badly in the last match, so it remains to be seen whether they keep their spots in Sunday’s starting XI. Jeremy Jacquet could start again at center back, with Ibrahima Konate expected to slot in for Upamecano. The midfield is still loaded with quality in Lucas Da Cunha, Adrien Rabiot, Eduardo Camavinga and Rayan Cherki. A response is expected from the attacking leaders as well. Even though he scored off a Gianluigi Donnarumma blunder, Olise didn’t deliver the production they hoped for at San Siro, and the same goes for Desire Doue. Kylian Mbappe, who missed that match, could return for the finale, which would be huge news for Les Bleus.

Kylian Mbappe could be back for this crucial Nations League clash.

The Turks are still without Kenan Yildiz for this international window, but otherwise Yalcin has no major concerns. Despite Berke Ozer’s return to the squad, Ugurcan Cakir got the nod in goal for the new manager’s debut and could start again Sunday. There’s good news at the back, too: Abdulkerim Bardakci is back from suspension and could return to the center back pairing alongside Merih Demiral.

Hakan Calhanoglu came off the bench against Belgium a few days ago but is expected to start in midfield this time. Just ahead of him should be Arda Guler, who has been playing at the top of his game all season. He’s stacking up big performances for Real Madrid and has been just as sharp for his national team, most recently burying a gorgeous free kick to open the scoring against Belgium. They have some weapons up front as well. Baris Alper Yilmaz, Can Uzun and Enes Unal will try to give the French back line problems.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato France
CD Huachipato Turkiye
Top Goalscorer
France M. Olise (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Turkey B. Yilmaz (1 Goals) ,  Turkey A. Simsir (1 Goals) ,  Turkey A. Guler (1 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Olise (2 Assists) , 
France R. Cherki (2 Assists) , 
France D. Doue (2 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey O. Aydin (1 Assists) , 
Turkey E. Elmali (1 Assists)

France and Turkiye Stats in UEFA Nations League

France
France
Turkiye
Turkiye
60%
Wins
0%
20%
Losses
100%
20%
Draws
0%
2.6
Average goals per match
3.2
1.6
Goals scored per match
0.6
1
Goals conceded per match
2.6
60%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
40%
No goals conceded
0%
60%
Both score
60%

France - Turkiye Key Points

  1. France are looking to regroup following their 3-1 loss in Italy.
  2. The over 2.5 goals has cashed in each of their last two matches.
  3. France only needs a draw to advance, but they’ll go all out for the win to try to take over first place in the group.
  4. Turkey still haven’t earned a single point through five Nations League matchdays.
  5. The over 2.5 goals has cashed in each of their last four matches.
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Our France vs Turkiye Prediction

France can’t afford a misstep on the final matchday of the group stage. Les Bleus need at least a draw to lock in a quarterfinal spot, but they’ll be chasing the win to claim first place if Italy stumbles against Belgium. Zidane and company should let their quality show in a high-scoring affair against a Turkey side that still hasn’t gotten on the board.

Our France vs Turkey pick: France victory & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

France Victory & Over 2.5 Goals

−210
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France vs Turkiye - Other Interesting Picks

France win the match

Odds −450
France shouldn’t sweat this one on Sunday. Turkey hasn’t been able to find its footing at any point in this Nations League, and they still haven’t picked up a single point through five matchdays.
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Michael Olise Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +135
Even coming off a rough outing against Italy, Michael Olise found the back of the net. One of Les Bleus’ top attacking threats could easily make his mark again in this decisive clash.
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France vs Turkiye match : Frequently asked questions

The Ligue des Nations match between France and Turkey will take place at Matmut Stadium on Saturday. The official match date is 11/15/2026, and kickoff is scheduled for 2:45 ET.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.