Norway vs Wales Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Norway
11/14/26 12:00
Wales

Prediction:

 

Norway Victory & Over 3.5 Goals

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 by Tyler Doty | in UEFA Nations League Picks

Norway is clearly under pressure during this second international window. Currently in last place heading into the fifth matchday, the World Cup’s big surprise will have to win at home against Wales, the team that has conceded the fewest goals after 360 minutes of play. Even though the team coached by Stale Solbakken is the favorite heading into kickoff, nothing has gone according to plan between late September and early October: three consecutive losses (including one against Wales) and an average of two goals conceded per game since the start of the tournament. To avoid being relegated to the lower tier, key players like Haaland and Odegaard will need to step up, as second place in Group 4 remains a possibility.

Wales has had only one moment of joy in the Nations League: a home victory against… Norway. Otherwise, things have been rather bleak. The team led by Craig Bellamy heads to Norway with three losses in four matches, but more importantly, no goals scored in 270 minutes. The Dragons’ success came in extra time. It remains to be seen if they can recapture that efficiency in regulation time; otherwise, securing the three points this Saturday will be a challenge.

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Norway vs Wales Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Wales
3 4 1 0 3 -3
4 Norway
3 4 1 0 3 -2

Norway and Wales Latest Matches

Norway
Norway Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  1
Norway

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
1 :  2
Portugal

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
3 :  2
Denmark

Jul 11, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  2
England

Jul 5, 2026 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  2
Norway
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
1 :  2
Portugal

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
3 :  2
Denmark

Jul 11, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  2
England

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  2
Senegal

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden
D W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  1
Norway

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway

Jul 5, 2026 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  2
Norway

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  2
Norway

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
1 :  4
Norway

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  1
Norway
Wales
Wales Latest matches
D L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  1
Denmark

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  0
Wales

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Wales

Jun 2, 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Ghana
W D D D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  1
Denmark

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway

Jun 2, 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Ghana

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Northern Ireland

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Wales
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Wales
7 :  1
North Macedonia
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  0
Wales

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Wales

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Liechtenstein
0 :  1
Wales

Oct 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

England
3 :  0
Wales

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Kazakhstan
0 :  1
Wales

Norway against Wales : Head to Head (H2H)

Norway

0 %

Draw

0 %

Wales

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway
Norway vs Wales Picks

Wales v Norway last Lineups

Norway

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
E. Selvik
7
F. Aursnes
3
K. Ajer
4
L. Ostigard
5
D. Moller Wolfe
10
M. Odegaard
8
S. Berge
6
P. Berg
21
A. Schjelderup
9
E. Haaland
20
A. Nusa
9
L. Koumas
19
S. Thomas
10
L. Cullen
11
B. Johnson
5
E. Ampadu
17
J. James
15
J. DaSilva
4
B. Davies
6
B. Cabango
3
N. Williams
12
D. Ward

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Wales

Substitutes

Norway
Norway
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

S. Tangvik

Defender

S. Langas

O. Blomberg

O. Bjortuft

M. Holmgren Pedersen

Midfielder

T. Aasgaard

F. Sjovold

O. Bobb

K. Thorstvedt

Forward

E. Botheim

J. Strand Larsen

Wales
Wales
Goalkeeper

D. Cornell

T. King

Defender

C. Roberts

J. Lienou

C. Mepham

Midfielder

C. Ashford

J. Sheehan

J. Colwill

Forward

K. Moore

W. Burns

D. James

M. Harris

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Norway
CD Huachipato Wales
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales D. James (1 Goals) ,  Wales N. Williams (1 Goals)
Best assists
Norway M. Odegaard (4 Assists)
Best assists
Wales S. Thomas (1 Assists)

Norway and Wales Stats in UEFA Nations League

Norway
Norway
Wales
Wales
25%
Wins
25%
75%
Losses
75%
0%
Draws
0%
3.5
Average goals per match
1.75
1.5
Goals scored per match
0.5
2
Goals conceded per match
1.25
0%
Under 2.5 goals
75%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
Both score
25%

Norway - Wales Key Points

  1. Norway have lost their last 3 games.
  2. Norway have lost the last 3 head-to-head matches.
  3. Wales have scored 2 goals in 4 games: against Norway.
  4. Wales have won only one of their last 8 games.
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Our Norway vs Wales Prediction

Norway enters this match as the favorite. However, the head-to-head history and Norway’s recent performances are far from reassuring. The Red and Greens are hoping to pull off the same upset as in the previous round, but if Erling Haaland’s teammates step up, the game will be over by the final whistle.

Our Norway vs. Wales prediction: Norway to win and over 3.5 goals!

Prediction:

 

Norway Victory & Over 3.5 Goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.