Valladolid vs CD Castellon Prediction & Picks - LaLiga 2
Spain - LaLiga 2
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by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks
Matchday 14 in LaLiga2 sees 12th-placed Valladolid host second-placed Castellon. Both teams are adept at creating scoring chances, while deeper underlying numbers suggest Castellon’s impressive defensive record may be due for a regression. As a result, we’re backing a high-scoring contest.
Valladolid finished two spots above the relegation zone last season after accumulating 46 points from 42 matches. They’re on a better pace this time around, averaging 1.38 points per match so far, but they still have some work to do if they are to challenge for a promotion playoff spot. Their home matches have been full of back-and-forth action, averaging 4.17 total goals.
Castellon came up short in the promotion playoff semifinals last season after finishing sixth, losing to Almeria. They’re back with a bang in the 2026-27 season, though, and will have real aspirations of securing automatic promotion with a top-two finish. The last time Castellon finished top two in Spain’s second division was in 1988-89, when they finished first and won promotion to the top flight.
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Valladolid vs CD Castellon Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 |
|
12
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 |
Valladolid and CD Castellon Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Nov 2, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 29, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Oct 23, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 18, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 12, 2026 - LaLiga 2
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 2, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 18, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 12, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 27, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 13, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 29, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Oct 23, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 4, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga 2
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 1, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 29, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Oct 25, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 17, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 11, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 4, 2026 - LaLiga 2
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 25, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 4, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 19, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 6, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 1, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 29, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Oct 17, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Oct 11, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 28, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Valladolid against CD Castellon : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga 2
Aug 22, 2025 - LaLiga 2
Valladolid - CD Castellon: Form Analysis
Valladolid come into this fixture in fine form, racking up three straight wins across all competitions. In the league, they’ve won their last two matches, beating Leganés 4-3 at home before following that up with a 2-1 away win over Sporting Gijon.
They’ve been a different beast at the Zorrilla this season, winning four of six matches compared to their 1-3-3 away record. Valladolid’s goalscoring form has also been night and day at home, with 15 of their 22 total goals coming in front of the home crowd.
Valladolid rank second in LaLiga2 for big chances created with 34, just one ahead of Castellón in fourth on 33.
Castellón kicked off the season in red-hot form, going unbeaten in their first seven league matches, winning six and drawing once. Since then, their form has leveled off, although they’ve remained a very difficult team to beat.
Castellón are coming off a 1-1 away draw with Burgos, which saw Matias Orozco sent off in the 60th minute. It extended the visitors’ unbeaten run to four matches across all competitions, but they’ve now won only twice in their last five LaLiga2 fixtures (D2, L1).
Castellón have been hugely impressive away from home this season, racking up five wins, one draw and only one defeat in seven trips so far. Their promotion push has been built on a defensive foundation, resulting in a league-low of five goals conceded in 12 matches.
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CD Castellon v Valladolid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
D. Martin
DefenderA. Perez Campo
R. Martinez Gil
M. Lachuer
I. Munoz
MidfielderP. Tomeo
R. Ito
Y. Cabanzon
D. Perez
ForwardV. Moreno
L. Rodriguez Chacon
R. van Duiven
A. Saipi
DefenderF. Ceccherini
L. Alcazar
M. Conde Gomez
I. Kostis
J. Nieto
MidfielderA. Gala
J. Vlak
ForwardA. Garcia
R. Rego
D. Nzanza
R. Sanchez
Valladolid & CD Castellon Squad Analysis
Valladolid manager Fran Escriba will be without three players for Saturday’s match. Defender Ivan Alejo is serving a one-match suspension for yellow-card accumulation, while striker Juanmi Latasa remains out with a muscle injury. Guille Bueno remains a long-term absentee with an ACL injury.
The injury to Latasa forced a formation change in recent matches. Originally lining up in a 4-1-3-2, Escriba has been experimenting with a 4-3-1-2 and, in their last outing, a 4-3-3 formation. He could stick with the 4-3-3, featuring a young front line that includes Levante loanee Tay Abed, who has scored in two consecutive starts, along with 19-year-olds Victor Fernandez (on loan from Valencia) and leading scorer Adrian Arnuncio.
Behind them, Frenchman Julien Ponceau pulls the strings and leads the team in goal involvements with three goals and six assists in 13 appearances.
The visitors will be without two key players in Matias Ozorco and Ousmane Nana Camara.
Ozorco, the 18-year-old Brighton loanee, is serving a suspension following his red card last time out. Striker Camara has been out since the end of September and is listed as doubtful for this match.
Israel Suero has picked up the attacking slack with several brilliant performances in recent weeks. The number 10 is in fine form, scoring five goals in his last six appearances.
Goalkeeper Romain Matthys has been one of the visitors’ best players this season and has kept seven clean sheets in 12 matches.
Most goals and assists
Valladolid
CD Castellon
A. Arnu
(5 Goals)
I. Suero
(6 Goals)
V. Fernandez
(6 Assists)
M. Orozco
(3 Assists)
Valladolid and CD Castellon Stats in LaLiga 2
Valladolid - CD Castellon Key Points
- Castellón have conceded 7 fewer goals than their xGA of 12.4, suggesting defensive regression is due.
- Valladolid rank 2nd in the league with 34 big chances created; Castellon rank 4th with 33.
- 5 of Valladolid’s 6 home LaLiga2 matches have finished with over 2.5 goals.
- Valladolid’s home matches average a division-high 4.17 total goals.
- Castellón and Valladolid rank 2nd and 3rd, respectively, in xG with 22.3 and 20.9.
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Our Valladolid vs CD Castellon Prediction
Castellón’s defensive record is the obvious argument against this over. And while they are undoubtedly brilliant defensively, they have conceded about seven fewer goals than expected based on their 12.4 xGA. This fixture will put that record to the test against a side that ranks second for big chances created and whose home matches at the Zorrilla have averaged over four total goals.
Both teams are capable of generating high-xG chances, which has us backing the over. Our Valladolid vs Castellón Prediction: over 2.5 goals.
Valladolid vs CD Castellon - Other Interesting Picks
Draw
This looks like an evenly matched contest between two in-form sides. Valladolid have won three straight matches, while Castellón are unbeaten in four across all competitions. The hosts are much stronger at home, while Castellón have proven extremely difficult to beat this season and have been getting results on the road. It’s tough to choose between these two teams, and a draw looks like a fair result.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
