Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

Prediction published on 10/9/26, 5:23 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 10/9/26 at 5:26 PM in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

Alejandro Tabilo will try to take advantage of a manageable 3.5-game handicap against Pablo Carreno Busta, whom he demolished in their most recent meeting in Rome.

Current Form:

Pablo Carreno Busta edged Mariano Navone 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 in the first round of the 2026 Shanghai Masters. The win guaranteed Carreno Busta a better finish in Shanghai after crashing out in the first round of the 2026 China Open, where he lost to Daniil Medvedev in straight sets.

Alejandro Tabilo is 1-2 in the Asian swing of the ATP Tour. The Chilean lost to Adrian Mannarino 4-6, 4-6 in the first round in Chengdu, reached the second round in Tokyo after upsetting Tommy Paul 6-1, 6-2 in the first round, before bowing to Denis Shapovalov in three sets, 5-7, 6-3, 4-6.

The Matchup: Carreno Busta is 2-1 vs. Tabilo in their head-to-head series. However, Tabilo dominated Carreno Busta in straight sets in Rome this year.