Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul USA
Tommy Paul ATP 18
10/10/26 03:30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Paraguay
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP 52

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+135
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

One of the US contingent due to be engaged at the ATP event in Shanghai on Saturday is Tommy Paul, who will take on Daniel Vallejo. This will be the third time that the world number 17 has faced the Paraguayan. He's won each of the last two renewals, but he hasn't done so in straight sets, so this may not be overly easy for the American. 

Tommy Paul, as the higher-ranked player, is fancied by the early market to come out on top, and it's easy to see why, though he's not exactly up against an out-of-form competitor, while he hasn't made a habit of winning in straight sets of late, leaving a bet of 'Over 2.5 Sets' to go down as a value option all the time odds of +135 are on offer. 

Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Form

Tommy Paul and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Latest Matches

Tommy Paul Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Sep 6, 2026 - ATP US Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Dino Prizmic
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Coleman Wong
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

Aug 20, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 8, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
2 :  0
Valentin Royer

Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
2 :  1
Jaime Faria

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
2 :  0
Taro Daniel

Tommy Paul against Adolfo Daniel Vallejo : Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

100 %

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

0 %

Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Apr 1, 2026 - ATP Houston

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
1 :  2
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Picks

Tommy Paul - Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Key Points

  1. When the pair last met on a hard court. three sets were played.
  2. Three sets have been played in each of the two previous renewals of this match.
  3. Tommy Paul has not won any of his last ten matches in straight sets.
  4. Eight of Tommy Paul's last ten matches have extended beyond the minimum number of sets.

Our Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Prediction

On paper, this is a winnable match for Tommy Paul, but we cannot ignore the fact that he has frequently made hard work of getting the job done in recent times, with most of his recent matches going beyond a second set. On this basis, 'Over 2.5 Sets' appeals at odds of +135. A fair price would likely be +120. 

Let's be honest, it's difficult to ignore that eight of Paul's last ten matches have contained more than the minimum number of sets. 

Our Tommy Paul vs Daniel Vallejo Pick: Over 2.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+135
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.