Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Felix Auger-Aliassime will try to cover a sizable 5.5-game handicap against Camilo Ugo Carabelli, who has 4 wins in 15 matches on hard courts in 2026.
Current Form:
Felix Auger-Aliassime will attempt to bounce back from a first-round exit in Beijing. Canada’s No.1 and current world No.5 lost to US Open semifinalist Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-3 in the first round of the ATP 500 event in the Chinese capital. Auger-Aliassime is 1-3 in his last four matches on the ATP Tour.
Meanwhile, Camilo Ugo Carabelli advanced to the second round of the 2026 Shanghai Masters with a come-from-behind win over Ilia Simakin 2-6, 6-2, 7-5. The win snapped Ugo Carabelli’s 7-match losing streak on the ATP main tour.
The Matchup: Auger-Aliassime swept Ugo Carabelli 6-0, 6-3, 6-4 in their first meeting at the 2022 French Open.
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger Aliassime Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 8, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 24, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
Sep 1, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 3, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 18, 2026 - Davis Cup
Sep 3, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 19, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is 12-8 on hard courts in 2026.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is 35-17 overall in 2026.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 4-11 on hard courts in 2026.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 0-8 vs. top-10 players.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
The Difference Maker: Felix Auger-Aliassime demolished a clay-court grinder, Camilo Ugo Carabelli, in three sets on the red dirt of Roland Garros in 2022. While Auger-Aliassime has had some success on clay, the Canadian is more deadly on the hard courts, especially on the fast courts in Shanghai.
What to Expect: Auger-Aliassime rediscovers his form to blow out Ugo Carabelli. He will comfortably cover -5.5 games by holding all his service games and capitalizing on Carabelli’s weaker serves.
Fearless Forecast: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins 6-3, 6-2
Our betting prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Felix Auger-Aliassime -5.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
