Wales vs Portugal Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Wales
11/17/26 14:45
Portugal

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

−125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in UEFA Nations League Picks

On Tuesday evening, the UEFA Nations League groups will conclude, and in League A, Group 4, the Portuguese are bidding to top the group, which they'll do by merely securing a point in Wales. Unfortunately, even if they win this game, there will be no top-two finish for the Welsh, who've struggled to deliver the required performances at the highest UNL level. Craig Bellamy's men have only three points to their name after five games. 

In the betting, at early odds of -125, 'Both Teams to Score' appeals. The hosts have nothing to play for but pride, but on home soil, pride means plenty to the Welsh, so we should not expect them to throw in the towel here. After all, they come here having scored against Norway, while they've only failed to score in one of their last seven home games. Both teams have scored in six of those seven. 

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Wales vs Portugal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Portugal
12 5 4 0 1 +2
4 Wales
3 5 1 0 4 -5

Wales and Portugal Latest Matches

Wales
Wales Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
3 :  1
Wales

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  1
Denmark

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  0
Wales

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Wales
W D D D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  1
Denmark

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
2 :  1
Norway

Jun 2, 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Ghana

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Northern Ireland

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Wales
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Wales
7 :  1
North Macedonia
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
3 :  1
Wales

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  0
Wales

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Wales

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Liechtenstein
0 :  1
Wales

Oct 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

England
3 :  0
Wales
Portugal
Portugal Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  4
Denmark

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  1
Norway

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  4
Portugal

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
1 :  2
Portugal

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
0 :  1
Spain
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  4
Denmark

Oct 4, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  1
Norway

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
0 :  1
Spain

Jul 2, 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
2 :  1
Croatia

Jun 23, 2026 - World Cup

Portugal
5 :  0
Uzbekistan
L D W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  4
Portugal

Sep 27, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Norway
1 :  2
Portugal

Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  0
Portugal

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Portugal

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
2 :  0
Portugal

Wales against Portugal : Head to Head (H2H)

Wales

0 %

Draw

0 %

Portugal

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Wales
Wales vs Portugal Picks

Portugal v Wales last Lineups

Wales

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
K. Darlow
3
N. Williams
6
J. Rodon
4
B. Davies
15
J. DaSilva
8
H. Wilson
5
E. Ampadu
10
L. Cullen
20
D. James
9
L. Koumas
11
B. Johnson
9
G. Ramos
11
Joao Felix
8
B. Fernandes
17
P. Neto
23
Vitinha
21
R. Neves
2
D. Dalot
3
R. Dias
13
R. Veiga
20
A. Costa
1
D. Costa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Portugal

Substitutes

Wales
Wales
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

D. Ward

Defender

J. Lienou

C. Roberts

C. Mepham

Midfielder

C. Ashford

K. Andrews

R. Colwill

J. Sheehan

Forward

A. Collins

M. Harris

D. Brooks

Portugal
Portugal
Goalkeeper

R. Silva

S. Soares

Defender

A. Silva

Nazinho

Midfielder

B. Silva

J. Neves

R. Mora

J. Palhinha

Forward

G. Quenda

F. Trincao

F. Silva

C. Forbs

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wales
CD Huachipato Portugal
Top Goalscorer
Wales D. James (1 Goals) , 
Wales N. Williams (1 Goals) , 
Wales D. Brooks (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Joao Felix (3 Goals) ,  Portugal G. Ramos (3 Goals)
Best assists
Wales S. Thomas (1 Assists) , 
Wales H. Wilson (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal N. Mendes (2 Assists) , 
Portugal B. Fernandes (2 Assists)

Wales and Portugal Stats in UEFA Nations League

Wales
Wales
Portugal
Portugal
20%
Wins
80%
80%
Losses
20%
0%
Draws
0%
2.2
Average goals per match
3.6
0.6
Goals scored per match
2
1.6
Goals conceded per match
1.6
60%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
0%
No goals conceded
20%
40%
Both score
80%

Wales - Portugal Key Points

  1. Both teams to score when Wales played in the UNL just a few days ago.
  2. Both teams also scored when Portugal played in the UNL on Saturday.
  3. Both the hosts and the visitors come into this game having conceded multiple goals last time out.
  4. Both teams have conceded at least once in each of their last four UNL games.
  5. Both teams have scored in six of Wales' last seven home games.
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Our Wales vs Portugal Prediction

As touched on above, the Welsh have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven games in front of a home crowd, which points towards both teams scoring a little more than an early price of -125 (= 55.6% implied probability) does. 

The visitors are strong offensively, but they've taken their foot off the gas defensively in recent games, conceding in each of their last four, with both teams scoring in all of those four games, which also suggests that a game containing at least one goal for each team is more likely than the early odds imply. 

Our Wales vs Portugal Pick: Both Teams to Score.

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

−125
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.