Poland vs Sweden Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Bradley Gibbs | in UEFA Nations League Picks
One of the less important UEFA Nations League fixtures due to take place on Tuesday evening comes our way from Tarczynski Arena in Wroclaw, where the Poles and the Swedes will lock horns. This is a game between the team that has already won the group (Sweden) and a team that cannot progress (Poland).
As we're talking about a game between two teams with nothing to fight for, a game between two teams with managers who are expected to rotate, and a game that players could really do without as they look ahead to their soon-to-begin club assignments, the early market appears to be slightly overestimating the chances of a high-scorer. 'Under 3.0 Asian Total', which for those who don't know provides a win for less than three goals and a refund if exactly three goals are scored, is worthy of consideration at odds of -125.
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Poland vs Sweden Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 |
|
3
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
Poland and Sweden Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 14, 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 17, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 14, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 20, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies
Poland against Sweden : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup
Mar 29, 2022 - World Cup
Jun 23, 2021 - Euro
Sweden v Poland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
S. Abramowicz
M. Kochalski
DefenderK. Piatkowski
T. Kedziora
T. Puchacz
MidfielderA. Pyrka
K. Urbanski
B. Mazurek
L. Poreba
ForwardA. Benedyczak
M. Zukowski
M. Skoras
J. Widell Zetterstrom
N. Tornqvist
DefenderH. Ekdal
A. Bernhardsson
E. Smith
F. Beijmo
G. Antwi
E. Stroud
MidfielderJ. Karlstrom
B. Nygren
D. Kulusevski
ForwardA. Njie
Most goals and assists
Poland
Sweden
R. Lewandowski
(3 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(6 Goals)
N. Zalewski
(2 Assists)
,
S. Szymanski
(2 Assists)
Y. Ayari
(1 Assists)
,
S. Nanasi
(1 Assists)
,
P. Walemark
(1 Assists)
,
V. Lindelof
(1 Assists)
,
A. Bernhardsson
(1 Assists)
,
A. Elanga
(1 Assists)
Poland and Sweden Stats in UEFA Nations League
Poland - Sweden Key Points
- The visitors have already topped the group and now have no reason to go all guns blazing.
- The hosts can no longer finish in the top two and thus have nothing to fight for.
- Only two of the last seven Poland home games have contained more than three goals.
- Two or fewer goals have been scored in three of Sweden's last four away games, with more than three goals being scored in none of those four.
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Our Poland vs Sweden Prediction
The early market is clearly focusing on the fact that both teams arrive at this point off the back of being involved in high-scoring games, but there's a chance that the fact that neither team has anything to play for is being overlooked a little. In fact, we're confident that's exactly what's happening.
The Swedes have been far less flamboyant away from home, and with both them and the hosts likely looking to get through this without picking up any injuries, a relatively low-scoring game seems more likely than the early odds indicate. Bet on 'Under 3.0 Asian Total' at anything bigger than -143.
Our Poland vs Sweden Pick: Under 3.0 Asian Total.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
