Senegal vs Sudan Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Senegal
1/3/26 11:00
Sudan

Prediction:

 

Senegal to Score Over 2.5 Goals

+125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in AFCON Picks

On Saturday, during the late morning for most US viewers, the knockouts of the African Cup of Nations will begin. First to fight for a place in the quarter-finals will be Senegal and Sudan, who’ll meet in Tanger. There was never really any danger of the Lions of Teranga failing to get through the groups, and in reasonably predictable fashion, Pape Thiaw’s men topped their group, earning seven points, scoring seven goals and conceding just one in the process. It’s now time for them to roar a little louder, and let’s be honest, a game against Sudan provides the perfect opportunity to do just that.

There was indeed danger of the Sudanese players failing to reach the knockouts, but thanks to a seemingly unlikely win against Equatorial Guinea during the second round of group games, the Falcons of Jediane made it through as one of the best third-place finishers. 

 
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Senegal vs Sudan Form

Senegal and Sudan Latest Matches

Senegal
Senegal Latest matches
W L W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  0
Botswana

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  0
Botswana

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  1
Congo Republic

Aug 5, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
2 :  3
Senegal

Aug 29, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal
Sudan
Sudan Latest matches
D L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan
D D D D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Mauritania

Aug 29, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria

Aug 19, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan

Nov 26, 2025 - Arab Cup

Lebanon
1 :  2
Sudan

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Oman
2 :  0
Sudan

Senegal against Sudan : Head to Head (H2H)

Senegal

25 %

Draw

75 %

Sudan

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.75
Goals scored
0.25
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan

Aug 29, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

Aug 19, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal

Mar 22, 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal

Senegal - Sudan: Form Analysis

In truth, the Senegalese boys got the job done during the groups without ever really getting out of second gear. They made light work of beating Botswana first time out, scoring three and conceding zero, before tying with D.R. Congo. To be honest, a tie was all they ever really needed on that occasion, and you could see that, even though they dominated. Last time out, we saw plenty of strong offensive play, with Thiaw’s men defeating Benin by a comfortable three goals to zero. 

Last time out, they returned to being not quite good enough against Burkina Faso, which in all honesty, points towards a struggle against Senegal

Sudan’s first game at this tournament came against the Algerians, which was always going to be an uphill battle. They lost without ever really causing their opponents any serious problems, though Kwesi Appiah’s men were not deterred by that defeat, sticking to their task very well against Equatorial Guinea on matchday two, riding out some rough moments before pouncing in the second half. Last time out, they returned to being not quite good enough against Burkina Faso, which in all honesty, points towards a struggle against Senegal.

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Senegal against Sudan Lineups: Starting 11

Senegal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
E. Mendy
15
K. Diatta
4
A. Seck
19
M. Niakhate
14
I. Jakobs
7
H. Diarra
5
I. Gueye
26
P. Gueye
18
I. Sarr
11
N. Jackson
10
S. Mane
10
M. Abdulrahman
14
M. Eisa
26
A. Abdallah Yunis
5
W. Khidir
2
A. Mohamed Ahmed
13
A. Taifour
12
Bakhit Khamis
6
M. Abdelgader Karshoum
3
Mohamed Ahmed
25
S. Barglan
21
M. Abuzaid Salman

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Sudan

Substitutes

Senegal
Senegal
Goalkeeper

Y. Diouf

M. Diaw

Defender

E. Diouf

I. Jakobs 53'

M. Sarr

A. Mendy

Midfielder

P. Sarr

L. Camara

H. Diarra 73'

O. Niang

P. Ciss

P. Gueye 87'

Forward

I. Ndiaye

I. Mbaye

I. Sarr 74'

C. Sabaly

B. Dia

N. Jackson 53'

H. Diallo

C. Ndiaye

Sudan
Sudan
Goalkeeper

Mohamed Abooja

A. Abu-Eshrein

Defender

M. Alnour Mohamed

A. Zayed Bakheit Gadin

A. Abdulrazzaq

M. Abdelgader Karshoum 61'

Midfielder

M. Kesra Hakeem

S. Adil

M. Abdulrahman 68'

A. Omer Yagoub

A. Abdallah Yunis 79'

Y. Awad Boshara

Al Gozoli Hussien

A. Mohamed Ahmed 79'

A. Manen

Forward

M. Teya

Y. Mozamil

J. Khames Robia

W. Khidir 79'

Senegal & Sudan Squad Analysis

The Lions of Teranga will be without the services of Kalidou Koulibaly, who was sent off last time out and is thus banned. Assane Diao is expected to miss out with injury, while Ilay Camara is another who is doubtful. Sadio Mane and Iliman Ndiaye are expected to continue in support of lone striker Nicolas Jackson, which means that Crystal Palace winger Ismaila Sarr is likely to settle for a place on the bench again. 

Assane Diao is expected to miss out with injury, while Ilay Camara is another who is doubtful.

For Sudan, Abobaker Eisa is a serious doubt having been forced off early against Algeria. It is yet to be confirmed whether he has recovered or not. Salaheldin Alhassan returned from suspension against Burkina Faso, but has reportedly picked up a knock. He too could miss out. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Senegal
CD Huachipato Sudan
Top Goalscorer
Senegal P. Gueye (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sudan A. Abdallah Yunis (1 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal S. Mane (3 Assists)
Best assists
Sudan W. Khidir (1 Assists)

Senegal - Sudan Key Points

  1. During the final round of group games, Senegal scored three goals.
  2. Senegal also scored three goals against a similarly weak Botswana team.
  3. The Sudanese have conceded three or more goals in two of their last four games.
  4. Against an Algeria team of similar quality to Senegal, during the groups, Sudan conceded three goals.
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Our Senegal vs Sudan Prediction

Let's be honest, this is a huge opportunity for the Lions of Teranga to boost their confidence ahead of the quarters by recording a high-scoring win. They've twice scored three goals at this tournament, making light work of doing so against slightly better opponents than Sudan, so do not be surprised if Thiaw's men thump their opponents here. 

Our Senegal vs Sudan Pick: Senegal to Score Over 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Senegal to Score Over 2.5 Goals

+125
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Senegal vs Sudan - Other Interesting Picks

Nicolas Jackson to Score

Odds +130
A game against a defensively weak Sudan team looks like a nice opportunity for Nicolas Jackson to continue his hot form. Jackson thrived against a similarly weak Botswana team during the groups, scoring two goals, taking no less than seven shots. If he starts here, expect something similar.
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Senegal vs Sudan match : Frequently asked questions

Senegal vs Sudan will be played in the city of Tanger at Stade Ibn Batouta.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Senegal vs Sudan Picks