Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 26 Spain
Rafael Jodar
5/13/26 16:40
ATP 16 Italy
Luciano Darderi

Prediction:

 

Luciano Darderi +1.5 Set Handicap

-125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks

We've reached the quarter-final stage of the ATP event in the Italian capital of Rome, where on Wednesday one of the hottest players on the planet will be back in action. A rapid improver, Rafael Jodar is firing on all cylinders right now, defeating Learner Tien in straight sets to reach his fourth quarter-final in a row, having recently done so (or better) in Marrakech, Barcelona and Madrid. Clearly, he's a player to take seriously. 

Another player to take seriously in Luciano Darderi, who is now up to 20 in the rankings. The Italian has always been a very decent clay-courter, but he's taken his game to new heights in recent times, while he's certainly enjoying being back in Italy, where he has a strong record. After beating world number three Alexander Zverev during the last round, Darderi really could push Jodar all the way here. 

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Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Form

Rafael Jodar and Luciano Darderi Latest Matches

Rafael Jodar Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Learner Tien

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

Apr 29, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Vit Kopriva
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

Apr 26, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Joao Fonseca
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar
Luciano Darderi Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Yannick Hanfmann
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Apr 15, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Vit Kopriva
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Rafael Jodar - Luciano Darderi Key Points

  1. Luciano Darderi comes into this match having defeated the world number one last time out.
  2. Luciano Darderi is clearly enjoying playing on home soil in Rome.
  3. Luciano Darderi has secured back-to-back wins against top-20 players ahead of this match.
  4. Luciano Darderi has lost just one of his last eight clay-court matches in straight sets.
Up to $200 to bet on Rafael Jodar - Luciano Darderi! 

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Our Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Playing in Italy, is clearly aiding Luciano Darderi, who delivered some fantastic tennis, also showing incredible determination and spirit, to defeat world number three Alexander Zverev during the last round. This is also a tough task, but with that huge win under his belt, and with the home crowd behind him, the Italian simply deserves more respect than he's getting from the early market. 

All things considered, Darderi is worth betting on to, at the very least, come away from this match with something better than a straight-set defeat. 

Our Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Pick: Luciano Darderi +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Luciano Darderi +1.5 Set Handicap

-125
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Picks