Portugal vs Wales Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sarah Lou Jones | in UEFA Nations League Picks
Reigning UEFA Nations League Champions Portugal take on Wales for the first game of the 2026-2028 edition. Another side who has replaced their manager following a disappointing World Cup campaign, this is Jorge Jesus' first competitive match in charge of the European giants. Portugal are favorites to win, but Wales shouldn't be underestimated. True, they don't possess the same quality throughout their squad that their opponents do, but it's a squad full of hard work and endeavour. Craig Bellamy also has talent at his disposal, this Wales side certainly have players who can cause Portugal problems.
While many are predicting a Portugal win, for our prediction we're focusing on the Total Goals market. Three of Portugal's last five has featured fewer than 2.5 goals. Four of Wales' last six has featured fewer than 2.5 goals. We think this will follow a similar path.
Portugal are likely to win, but not by many. Wales are a better side than what many give them credit for and this is likely to be a much closer game than many are expecting.
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Portugal vs Wales Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
3
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
Portugal and Wales Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup
Jul 2, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 23, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 17, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 10, 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup
Jul 2, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 23, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 17, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 10, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies
Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 6, 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jun 2, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup
Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 2, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 9, 2025 - International Friendlies
Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup
Jun 9, 2025 - World Cup
Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup
Portugal against Wales Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
S. Soares
R. Silva
DefenderD. Dalot
N. Tavares
T. Araujo
MidfielderJ. Neves
B. Silva
J. Palhinha
F. Trincao
R. Leao
F. Conceicao
G. Ramos
T. King
D. Cornell
DefenderC. Roberts
C. Mepham
R. Norrington-Davies
MidfielderJ. Colwill
S. Thomas
M. Harris
L. Cullen
W. Burns
K. Moore
D. James
Most goals and assists
Portugal
Wales
Joao Felix
(3 Goals)
,
G. Ramos
(3 Goals)
D. James
(1 Goals)
,
N. Williams
(1 Goals)
N. Mendes
(2 Assists)
,
B. Fernandes
(2 Assists)
S. Thomas
(1 Assists)
Portugal - Wales Key Points
- Three of Portugal's last five games have featured less than 2.5 goals
- Four of Wales' last six have featured less than 2.5 goals
- Portugal have only scored an average of 1.67 goals in their last six
- Wales have only conceded more than one goal in one of their last six
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Our Portugal vs Wales Prediction
This is likely to be a much tighter affair than many might expect. While Wales don't win many, they've become quite the draw specialists, their games don't tend to feature many goals. True, Portugal possess some fine attacking quality but this Wales side won't give much away.
Our prediction for Portugal vs Wales is: Under 2.5 Goals
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
