Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks
Osasuna and Real Madrid meet this Saturday at El Sadar in a fixture that highlights two teams currently trending in the right direction. For the hosts, the 2025-2026 campaign has stabilized under the tactical guidance of Alessio Lisci, as Los Rojillos have clawed their way into 10th place.
Osasuna enters this contest on an impressive five-match unbeaten streak in league play, a run defined by defensive grit and opportunistic finishing. Their most recent outing was a hard-fought 0-0 draw away at Elche on February 13, which followed a vital 2-1 victory over Celta Vigo. This resurgence has seen them collect 30 points from 24 matches, making them a difficult side to break down, particularly in the hostile atmosphere of Pamplona, where they have already secured six home wins this term.
Real Madrid continue to set the pace at the summit of La Liga with 60 points. Los Blancos arrive in Pamplona riding a wave of seven consecutive league victories, most recently dismantling Real Sociedad 4-1 at the Santiago Bernabeu on February 14. Beyond their domestic dominance, the capital club is coming off a midweek Champions League success against Benfica, where a stunning strike from Vinicius Junior secured a first-leg advantage.
Madrid has been historically dominant in this head-to-head matchup, winning four of the last five encounters, including a narrow 1-0 victory earlier this season. Their ability to balance European commitments with a relentless domestic title charge has kept them two points clear of rivals Barcelona.
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Osasuna vs Real Madrid Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Osasuna and Real Madrid Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 13, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 6, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 13, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 6, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Osasuna against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 9, 2024 - LaLiga
Mar 16, 2024 - LaLiga
Oct 7, 2023 - LaLiga
May 6, 2023 - Copa del Rey
Osasuna against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
D. Stamatakis
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Cruz
MidfielderA. Bretones
R. Moro
A. Osambela
I. Munoz
M. Gomez
ForwardK. Barja
R. Garcia
I. Arguibide
A. Lunin
S. Mestre
DefenderT. Alexander-Arnold
F. Mendy
A. Rudiger
F. Garcia
MidfielderT. Pitarch Pinar
D. Ceballos
B. Diaz
F. Mastantuono
G. Garcia
Missing players
F. Boyomo
ForwardI. Benito
E. Militao
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Osasuna
Real Madrid
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
Osasuna - Real Madrid Key Points
- The Over is 1-4 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
- The Over is 4-1 in Osasuna's last 5 games
- Real Madrid are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- Osasuna are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction
All eyes are on Kylian Mbappe, who leads the Pichichi race with 23 goals. The French forward has been in devastating form over the last two weeks, having scored in the rout of Real Sociedad. However, Arbeloa's squad is navigating several significant fitness concerns. Jude Bellingham remains sidelined with a hamstring injury suffered on February 1 and is not expected back until March. Rodrygo is also a major doubt as he recovers from a similar hamstring setback, while veteran defender Eder Militao continues his long-term rehabilitation from a tendon injury. Despite these absences, the depth of the squad remains formidable with Vinicius Junior and Fede Valverde providing world-class quality in transition.
Osasuna has its own fitness battles to monitor before kickoff. Creative midfielder Ruben Garcia missed training on Thursday due to undisclosed physical discomfort and is considered a doubt, which could see Raul Moro take on a larger role in the attack. Ante Budimir remains the primary threat for the hosts, having scored three goals in his last four appearances prior to the Elche draw. Defensively, Jorge Herrando and Flavien Boyomo have been exceptional recently, though Boyomo is reportedly dealing with minor ankle soreness.
Real Madrid remains the clear favorite given their superior technical quality and the scoring prowess of Mbappe. While Osasuna's recent defensive resilience suggests they can keep the scoreline respectable, the visitors' clinical nature in the final third usually proves the difference at El Sadar. Our prediction for Osasuna vs. Real Madrid: Under 3.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
