Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
9/30/25 12:45
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Half time double chance: Almaty/Draw

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 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

Kairat Almaty's first ever Champions League home game is a mouthwatering clash with 15 time champions Real Madrid. The Kazakh side had a rude awakening in their first match of the league phase, as they were thumped 4-1 by Sporting Lisbon in a one-sided contest that highlighted the huge gulf in class between Almaty and Europe's top teams.

However, Rafael Urazbakhtin's side are a much tougher proposition on their own turf and they will be hoping that a vociferous home crowd can make it an uncomfortable evening for Real. 

Meanwhile, Madrid will be reeling after a 5-1 derby day thumping at Atletico on Saturday afternoon. Everything looked to be going swimmingly for Real as goals from the prolific Kylian Mbappe and Ardu Guler put the league leaders 2-1 up after 36 minutes, but a shocking defensive capitulation saw Atletico cruise to victory in the second half. 

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Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Real Madrid
15 8 5 0 3 +9
36 Kairat Almaty
1 8 0 1 7 -15

Kairat Almaty and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty Latest matches
D D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
3 :  1
FC Zhenis

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Sep 14, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

Aug 31, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Aug 26, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Celtic

Aug 20, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
0 :  0
Kairat Almaty
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
3 :  1
FC Zhenis

Sep 14, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

Aug 26, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Celtic

Aug 16, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  3
FC Yelimai

Aug 6, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
SK Slovan Bratislava

Aug 2, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
Ulytau FC
L W L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Aug 31, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Aug 20, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
0 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Aug 12, 2025 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
1 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Jul 26, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Tobol Kostanay
1 :  3
Kairat Almaty

Jul 22, 2025 - Champions League

KuPS
2 :  0
Kairat Almaty
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca

Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

Jul 5, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wattens
0 :  4
Real Madrid

Jul 9, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Real Madrid

Kairat Almaty against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Kairat Almaty

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

82
S. Kalmurza
20
E. Tapalov
14
A. Martynovich
80
E. Sorokin
3
L. Mata
24
A. Mrynskiy
4
D. Kassabulat
15
O. Arad
55
V. Gromyko
7
Jorginho
9
D. Satpaev
10
K. Mbappe
15
A. Guler
7
Vinicius Junior
14
A. Tchouameni
19
D. Ceballos
30
F. Mastantuono
20
F. Garcia
4
D. Alaba
24
D. Huijsen
17
R. Asencio
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Goalkeeper

B. Aldashev

D. Reimov

Defender

L. Kurgin

A. Shirobokov

Midfielder

A. Sadybekov

O. Baybek

O. Arad 64'

Forward

J. Stanojev

E. Tapalov 65'

Ricardinho

D. Satpaev 80'

G. Zaria

V. Gromyko 80'

Edmilson

Jorginho 65'

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Navarro

A. Lunin

Defender

D. Jimenez

A. Carreras

Midfielder

E. Camavinga

A. Tchouameni 80'

J. Bellingham

A. Guler 81'

F. Valverde

Forward

B. Diaz

Vinicius Junior 71'

G. Garcia

K. Mbappe 81'

Rodrygo

F. Mastantuono 71'

Endrick

Missing players

Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

A. Rudiger

T. Alexander-Arnold

F. Mendy

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Kairat Almaty
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Edmilson (1 Goals)
Israel O. Arad (1 Goals)
Kazachstan O. Baybek (1 Goals)
Kazachstan D. Satpaev (1 Goals)
Kazachstan A. Sadybekov (1 Goals)
Portugal Jorginho (1 Goals)
Brazil Ricardinho (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (15 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Ricardinho (1 Assists)
Georgia G. Zaria (1 Assists)
Kazachstan A. Mrynskiy (1 Assists)
Belarus V. Gromyko (1 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Vinicius Junior (6 Assists)

Kairat Almaty - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Madrid have kept 1 clean sheet in their last 6 matches
  2. Almaty have won 3 of their last 4 games
  3. Madrid have won just 1 of their last 4 Champions League matches
  4. Almaty have scored in 15 of their last 16 home matches
Up to $350 to bet on Kairat Almaty - Real Madrid! 

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Our Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid Prediction

This is a monumental task for Almaty, and we think they will give a good account of themselves in front of a partisan home crowd.

Real are clearly the stronger side and they have arguably the most in-form striker on the planet, in the form of Kylian Mbappe. However, as Saturday's defeat to Atletico showed, Madrid still have a few defensive issues that need to be ironed out.

The 15 time champions should have too much for Almaty, but we would not be surprised to see the Kazakhs keep this tight for the first 45 minutes. 

Our prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid is: Half time double chance: Almaty/Draw. 

Prediction:

 

Half time double chance: Almaty/Draw

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Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid Picks