Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
1/14/26 14:45
Lecce

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

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 by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Inter Milan prepare to take on Lecce on Wednesday, having shown outstanding performances this season (sitting atop Serie A by several points). Antonio Conte’s side is unbeaten since November and has 14 wins out of 19 matches. In their latest outing, they drew 2-2 at home with Napoli in a tight title-race contest.

Inter’s form is excellent; they consistently control games, create many scoring chances, and rarely lose ground. They have a deep squad and recent wins over strong teams like Milan and Roma.

In contrast, Lecce is struggling at the bottom of the table (just 4-5-10). They have shown occasional fight – for example, Lecce won 1-0 at Parma on Jan 11 – but that followed a heavy 3-0 home loss to Como on Dec 27. Lecce tends to concede goals, though they can be dangerous on the counterattack.

They're in a relegation battle, with only three wins all season. Overall, this is a classic top-vs-bottom scenario: Inter is in peak form and dominating the standings, while Lecce has mostly losses and only sporadic positive results.

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Inter Milan vs Lecce Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 +54
17 Lecce
38 38 10 8 20 -22

Inter Milan and Lecce Latest Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Latest matches
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 19, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan
L W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Como 1907

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
5 :  1
Venezia

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 19, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan
Lecce
Lecce Latest matches
L W L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Lecce

Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Como 1907

Dec 12, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  0
Lecce
D W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Como 1907

Dec 12, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Torino FC

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Hellas Verona
W L W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Lecce

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  0
Lecce

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Lecce

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

Inter Milan against Lecce : Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

100 %

Draw

0 %

Lecce

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
0.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Inter Milan

Aug 24, 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

Feb 25, 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Inter Milan

Dec 23, 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

Mar 5, 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

Aug 13, 2022 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Inter Milan against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
25
M. Akanji
15
F. Acerbi
95
A. Bastoni
17
A. Diouf
23
N. Barella
7
P. Zielinski
22
H. Mkhitaryan
30
C. Augusto
14
A. Bonny
9
M. Thuram
9
N. Stulic
23
R. Sottil
16
O. Gandelman
50
S. Pierotti
29
Y. Maleh
29
L. Coulibaly
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
5
J. Siebert
17
D. Veiga
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Lecce

Substitutes

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

A. Calligaris

A. Taho

Defender

Y. Bisseck

M. Cocchi

S. De Vrij

F. Dimarco

M. Darmian

Midfielder

P. Sucic

M. Thuram 87'

T. Berenbruch

L. Bovo

D. Frattesi

N. Barella 56'

Forward

Luis Henrique

A. Diouf 57'

F. Esposito

A. Bonny 57'

L. Martinez

H. Mkhitaryan 72'

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

C. Kouassi

C. Ndaba

G. Jean

M. Ignacio

Midfielder

F. Marchwinski

A. Sala

Y. Maleh 86'

K. N’Dri

S. Pierotti 82'

M. Kaba

O. Gandelman 69'

O. Gorter

O. Ngom

T. Helgason

Forward

T. Morente

R. Sottil 68'

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

J. Martínez

Defender

T. Palacios

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

K. Gaspar

Midfielder

Y. Ramadani

Forward

L. Banda

M. Berisha

F. Camarda

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Zambia L. Banda (5 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (17 Assists)
Best assists
Italy A. Gallo (4 Assists)
Zambia L. Banda (4 Assists)

Inter Milan - Lecce Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Inter's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 2-3 in Lecce's last 5 games
  3. Inter are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Lecce are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Inter Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Inter’s attack is led by Lautaro Martínez, the club’s top scorer (10 goals) and creative force. Martínez has scored in big matches, including a brace against Fiorentina, and he will lead the line for Inter. Supporting him are Marcus Thuram and Hakan Çalhanoğlu (who takes penalties and free kicks). The defense is marshaled by top European talent like Alessandro Bastoni, and goalkeeper Yann Sommer is rock solid.

On Lecce’s side, their key contributors include forward Nikola Stulic and young winger Riccardo Sottil. Stulic, a 24-year-old striker, provides Lecce’s main threat up front, and Sottil offers pace on the wing with a few goals this season. Captain Vladimiro Falcone in goal and midfielder Omri Gandelman also add veteran stability.

Inter should win handily. Playing at San Siro and enjoying superior form, Inter is expected to beat Lecce. Inter should win convincingly, given the disparity, though Lecce’s fighting spirit means they won’t lie down. The prediction remains neutral: Inter appears far stronger on paper, reflecting their title-contending form, but upsets can happen in soccer. Our prediction for Inter Milan vs Lecce: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Lecce Picks