Inter Milan vs Genoa Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
2/28/26 14:45
Genoa

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-150
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Inter Milan and Genoa meet at the San Siro on Saturday evening with the Nerazzurri looking to stabilize their domestic campaign amidst the pressure of a looming European exit. Inter's recent schedule has been nothing short of chaotic; while they secured a convincing 3-0 win over Torino on February 22, they have also suffered a 3-2 loss to Napoli and a frustrating 0-0 draw against Cremonese.

Perhaps more concerning for the Inter faithful is their form in the Champions League, where a shock defeat to Bodø/Glimt has left them on the verge of elimination. Despite these distractions, Inter remains a title contender, sitting in the upper echelons of Serie A thanks to an elite defensive record that has produced 16 clean sheets this season.

Genoa, currently mid-table, arrives in Milan following a confidence-boosting 3-0 victory over Torino. While they have been inconsistent, their ability to punish defensive lapses was on full display in their last match, and they will be eager to exploit any fatigue in the Inter squad following their mid-week travels.

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Inter Milan vs Genoa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 +54
16 Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 -10

Inter Milan and Genoa Latest Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Inter Milan

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Juventus

Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  5
Inter Milan

Feb 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Torino FC
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Juventus

Feb 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Torino FC

Jan 23, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
6 :  2
Pisa SC

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Lecce
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Inter Milan

Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  5
Inter Milan

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  1
Inter Milan
Genoa
Genoa Latest matches
D W L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Torino FC

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Genoa

Feb 7, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Napoli

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Torino FC

Feb 7, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Napoli

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 12, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta
W L D D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Genoa

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

Inter Milan against Genoa : Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

50 %

Draw

50 %

Genoa

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Feb 22, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Genoa

Aug 17, 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Inter Milan

Mar 4, 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Genoa

Dec 29, 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Feb 25, 2022 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
25
M. Akanji
6
S. de Vrij
30
C. Augusto
11
Luis Henrique
23
N. Barella
7
P. Zielinski
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
9
M. Thuram
14
A. Bonny
29
L. Colombo
9
Vitinha
8
T. Baldanzi
3
A. Martin
32
M. Frendrup
17
R. Malinovskyi
77
M. Ellertsson
22
J. Vasquez
5
L. Ostigard
27
A. Marcandalli
16
J. Bijlow

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Genoa

Substitutes

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

J. Martinez

Defender

F. Acerbi

D. Dumfries

Y. Bisseck

S. de Vrij 66'

M. Darmian

Midfielder

A. Diouf

A. Bonny 76'

D. Frattesi

P. Zielinski 76'

P. Sucic

H. Calhanoglu

H. Mkhitaryan 59'

Forward

F. Esposito

M. Thuram 59'

M. Lavelli

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

N. Leali

B. Siegrist

Defender

M. Doucoure

S. Sabelli

A. Martin 85'

N. Zatterstrom

Midfielder

P. Masini

J. Onana

Amorim

R. Malinovskyi 46'

M. Cornet

Forward

C. Ekuban

Vitinha 60'

J. Messias

T. Baldanzi 66'

J. Ekhator

L. Colombo 66'

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

A. Bastoni

Genoa
Genoa
Defender

S. Otoa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy L. Colombo (7 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (17 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (4 Assists)

Inter Milan - Genoa Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Milan's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 4-1 in Genoa's last 5 games
  3. Milan are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Genoa are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Inter Milan vs Genoa Prediction

The second half of this matchup highlights several key personnel shifts and injury concerns. For Inter, Lautaro Martínez continues to be the primary engine of the offense, leading the team with 14 goals, while Federico Dimarco has been sensational over the last two weeks, bringing his season assist total to 13. However, the hosts are dealing with a significant blow as Hakan Çalhanoğlu is ruled out with a quad injury. On the positive side, Denzel Dumfries has returned to the squad following an ankle issue.

Genoa's hopes rely on Lorenzo Colombo, on loan from Milan, who has 6 goals this season, and the creative Ruslan Malinovskyi, who was instrumental in their win last Sunday. Despite Genoa's recent uptick in form, the betting markets heavily favor Inter Milan (-333) due to their overwhelming home record and tactical superiority. Even without Çalhanoğlu, the depth of the Inter midfield should be enough to control the pace against a Genoa side that historically struggles at the San Siro. Our prediction for Inter Milan vs. Genoa: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-150
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Genoa Picks