France vs Senegal Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

France
6/16/26 15:00
Senegal

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score

-104
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in World Cup Picks

Almost a week into the competition is when world-ranking number three France and 15th Senegal meet for their first group game. At available odds of -104, Both Teams to Score appeals. This bet could easily be shorter, so there’s some clear value up for grabs. 

Two-time World Cup winners France are no strangers to playing on the main stage, and even to making it to the final rounds of the competition. In 2022, after a late hattrick from Mbappe, Les Bleus almost won their second championship title in a row. They just fell short on penalties against Argentina, and no doubt they’d be delighted to avenge this in North America.

This year will only be Senegal's fourth time participating in the World Cup, qualifying for three consecutive tournaments. In 2022, the Senegalese were eliminated in the knock-outs by England. Their best result in the biggest soccer competition came during their first appearance, reaching the quarter-finals in 2002. 

With very recent experience in a big competition, Les Lions de la Teranga were ever so close to AFCON victory back in January. After drama late in the game, Senegal believed they’d won the trophy, only for officials to reverse the outcome and strip them of their title later down the line.

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France vs Senegal Form

France and Senegal Latest Matches

France
France Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jun 8, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

Mar 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  2
France

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
France

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 8, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Azerbaijan

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

France
2 :  1
Iceland

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

France
2 :  0
Croatia
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

Mar 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  2
France

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
France

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France

Jun 8, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
0 :  2
France
Senegal
Senegal Latest matches
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  1
Gambia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Peru

Jan 18, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco

Jan 14, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Egypt
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  1
Gambia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Peru

Jan 18, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco

Jan 14, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Egypt

Jan 3, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

Jan 9, 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

France - Senegal: Form Analysis

France Senegal Picks & Predictions - World Cup 2026

Both teams have had two warm-up games ahead of the big showdown, though both have played two extra friendlies since March. One preparation game was a surprising defeat for Didier Deschamps’ side, losing 1-2 to Ivory Coast on home soil, as well conceding last time out against Northern Ireland.

We all know how much quality the French have up top, but this does often cause them to get hit on the break, going five games now without a clean sheet. 

We all know how much quality the French have up top, but this does often cause them to get hit on the break, going five games now without a clean sheet. 

It’s likely that the second-best African team won’t be too delighted with their World Cup preparations, tying against Saudi Arabia in their last outing, and losing against one of the host nations, USA, though still finding the net twice and having a fair number of great chances on goal.

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Senegal v France last Lineups

France

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
5
J. Kounde
17
W. Saliba
4
D. Upamecano
19
T. Hernandez
8
A. Tchouameni
14
A. Rabiot
11
M. Olise
7
O. Dembele
20
D. Doue
10
K. Mbappe
12
C. Ndiaye
10
S. Mane
6
P. Ciss
13
I. Ndiaye
21
H. Diarra
8
L. Camara
19
M. Niakhate
2
M. Sarr
25
E. Diouf
15
K. Diatta
16
E. Mendy

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Senegal

Substitutes

France
France
Goalkeeper

R. Risser

B. Samba

Defender

M. Gusto

I. Konate

L. Hernandez

L. Digne

M. Lacroix

Midfielder

M. Akliouche

W. Zaire-Emery

N. Kante

R. Cherki

M. Kone

Forward

B. Barcola

M. Thuram

J. Mateta

Senegal
Senegal
Goalkeeper

M. Diaw

Y. Diouf

Defender

K. Koulibaly

A. Mendy

A. Seck

I. Jakobs

M. Mbow

Midfielder

I. Gueye

P. Gueye

P. Sarr

B. Ndiaye

Forward

I. Mbaye

I. Sarr

B. Dieng

N. Jackson

France & Senegal Squad Analysis

When it comes to French offensive players, there’s plenty in the talent pool. Deschamps has some tricky decisions to make, and we can see that he’s been exploring his options in their recent matches.

A lovely hattrick by Bayern Munich’s Michael Olise last time out should solidify his worth in this strong France team, though there’s Ousmane Dembele, Kylian Mbappe, Marcus Thuram and Desire Doue to select from, and it doesn’t end there.

A lovely hattrick by Bayern Munich’s Michael Olise last time out should solidify his worth in this strong France team

Senegal’s starting lineup hasn’t switched up too much in their warm-up matches, so there shouldn’t be a massive change here. The experienced Sadio Mane, who grabbed himself a brace against USA in their penultimate match, should be Pape Thiaw’s number one choice on the left.

Villarreal’s Pape Gueye really has impressed in recent games for his country, whilst youngster Habib Diarra is likely to make his first World Cup appearance.

France - Senegal Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in all of France’s last five matches.
  2. Senegal have scored in six out of seven meetings in 2026.
  3. Les Bleus conceded three goals in their two warm-up games.
  4. Senegal netted twice in their warm-up game on US soil.
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Our France vs Senegal Prediction

Les Bleus have more than enough quality in the final third, there’s no denying that. As we regularly see, they’re going to press forward a lot in this game, so Senegal will be a threat on the counter attack. 

France has been creating a habit of getting caught out on the break recently, and three of their last five haven’t faced teams as strong as this underestimated Senegal side. Ultimately, this game looks lke a better opportunity for both teams to score than the early odds suggest. 

Our France vs Senegal Pick: Both Teams to Score.

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score

-104
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France vs Senegal - Other Interesting Picks

France win the match

Odds -220

Simply put, France has too much offensive quality. When push comes to shove they should be able to out-score their opponents, who do not have the same offensive depth as Les Bleus. If you’re looking to get involved in a moneyline multiple, betting on France to win is hard to avoid.

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Pape Gueye 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +190
In the most recent African Cup of Nations, Pape Gueye was Senegal’s foremost player in terms of shot creation, averaging a fantastic 3.57 shots per game. In his last five appearances for his nation in 2026, he’s created a total of 14 shots, and being rested in their final warm-up game implies the midfielder is likely to start here. If he does, don’t miss out on the early odds for him to register a shot on target.
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WC Welcome Bonus for the France vs Senegal match!

FanDuel World Cup

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$350 in bonus bets for France vs Senegal!

France vs Senegal match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between France and Senegal is scheduled for 06/16/2026 at 3:00 PM, taking place at MetLife Stadium.
The referee for the World Cup match between France and Senegal is Alireza Faghani.
The World Cup match between France and Senegal will be broadcast on Fox Sports, Telemundo HD, Fubo.tv, and SiriusXM FC.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

France vs Senegal Picks