Deportivo Toluca FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Picks - Concachampions

CONCACAF - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
4/8/26 23:00
Los Angeles Galaxy

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals.

-154
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Concachampions Picks

Deportivo Toluca and LA Galaxy will clash in Leg 1 of the CONCACAF Champions Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday night at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Toluca will want to maximize their home advantage to get a convincing win and head to LA next week with a comfortable lead. They defeated San Diego FC 6-3 on aggregate in the Round of 16, including a 4-0 home win. However, LA will be a more complicated opponent.

LA Galaxy, on the other hand, is looking shaky this season. They’re 12th in the Western Conference standings, having won just one of their six domestic assignments. However, the Americans have been rampant in their road to the quarterfinals of this competition. They defeated Mount Pleasant from Jamaica 6-0 on aggregate in the Round of 16.  Deportivo Toluca should be a more formidable opponent on Wednesday.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Form

Deportivo Toluca FC and Los Angeles Galaxy Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W L D W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 18, 2026 - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
San Diego FC

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Atlas FC

Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions

San Diego FC
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 8, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Juarez
D W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 18, 2026 - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
San Diego FC

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Atlas FC

Mar 8, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Juarez

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Chivas

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tijuana

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul
D W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions

San Diego FC
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy Latest matches
L W L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Minnesota United

Mar 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
1 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Mar 19, 2026 - Concachampions

Mount Pleasant FC
0 :  3
Los Angeles Galaxy

Mar 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles Galaxy
3 :  0
Mount Pleasant FC

Mar 7, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids
4 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D D W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Minnesota United

Mar 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles Galaxy
3 :  0
Mount Pleasant FC

Feb 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
3 :  0
Charlotte FC

Feb 25, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles Galaxy
0 :  0
AF Sporting San Miguelito

Feb 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  1
New York City
D L D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
1 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Mar 19, 2026 - Concachampions

Mount Pleasant FC
0 :  3
Los Angeles Galaxy

Mar 7, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids
4 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Feb 19, 2026 - Concachampions

AF Sporting San Miguelito
1 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
2 :  1
Los Angeles Galaxy

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders
2 :  2
Los Angeles Galaxy

Deportivo Toluca FC against Los Angeles Galaxy : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

100 %

Draw

0 %

Los Angeles Galaxy

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Deportivo Toluca FC against Los Angeles Galaxy Lineups: Starting 11

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

22
L. Garcia
4
B. Mendez
6
F. Pereira
19
S. Simon
11
Helinho
8
N. Castro
5
F. Romero
20
J. Gallardo
10
R. Angulo
26
Paulinho
9
A. Vega
99
J. Klauss
27
E. Thommy
26
H. Miller
11
G. Pec
22
E. Wynder
6
E. Cerrillo
4
M. Yoshida
14
J. Nelson
25
C. Garces
2
M. Yamane
12
J. Marcinkowski

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Los Angeles Galaxy

Substitutes

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

H. Gonzalez

Defender

M. Isais

J. Gallardo 84'

E. del Villar

Helinho 70'

A. Briseno

Luan

F. Pereira 45'

D. Barbosa

S. Simon 83'

Midfielder

S. Cordova

V. Arteaga

F. Arce

Forward

P. Perez

O. Virgen

F. Rossi

A. Vega 84'

Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
Goalkeeper

N. Micovic

B. Scott

Defender

J. Aude

J. Nelson 72'

M. Cuevas

M. Yamane 80'

C. Rindov

Midfielder

T. Elgersma

J. Haak

H. Miller 59'

L. Sanabria

E. Thommy 80'

I. Parente

M. Reus

E. Wynder 58'

Forward

R. Ramos

J. Placias

Missing players

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
Defender

J. Glesnes

Midfielder

R. Puig

J. Paintsil

Forward

M. Nascimento

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Los Angeles Galaxy
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Pec (6 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal Paulinho (2 Assists)
Mexico P. Perez (2 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil J. Klauss (2 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - Los Angeles Galaxy Key Points

  1. Deportivo Toluca won four of their last five home games.
  2. Deportivo Toluca lost only twice in their last 16 matches.
  3. The total goals went over 2.5 in six of the last seven LA Galaxy matches.
  4. Both teams scored in nine of the last 10 LA Galaxy away matches.

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

Toluca FC will be the betting favorites as they look to gain the advantage in Leg 1. They’ve been in red-hot form at home lately, avoiding defeat in their last 21 assignments. Conversely, the visitors have won just once in their last 21 away games. However, we believe that both teams will score, with Toluca scoring in 15 of their last 16 home games. They also scored in 10 of their last 11 matches, whereas LA Galaxy scored in 18 of their last 19 matches. This will be the second time these two sides have met, with their last encounter ending in a 2-3 win for the Mexicans. We’re backing the home side to win 2-1.

Our prediction for Deportivo Toluca FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: Over 2.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals.

-154
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Picks