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by Erik Gibbs in NFL Picks
The Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders meet again on Sunday in a matchup that could shape the final stretch of the AFC West race, and both enter this rematch with very different momentum. Denver comes in playing some of its most complete football of the year, stacking wins behind a disciplined defense and a mistake-free offense.
Las Vegas, on the other hand, is in freefall, burdened by injuries and an offense that struggles to sustain drives. Their previous meeting was a defensive slugfest, and the setting at Allegiant Stadium adds another layer of urgency for a Raiders team trying to stop a six-game slide. Recent trends tell a clear story: Denver's physicality at the line of scrimmage overwhelmed Las Vegas in the first matchup, and unless the Raiders find a cleaner rhythm early, the matchup could tilt the same way.
The Raiders' recent results reflect a team unable to find stability. Their offense has shown flashes, particularly in spurts where Geno Smith is allowed to settle in, but turnovers and protection breakdowns have repeatedly killed momentum. Las Vegas' defense, normally anchored by Maxx Crosby, has struggled to compensate for its mounting injuries. A 10–7 loss in their latest outing underscored the lack of scoring punch and how thin the margins have become.
Denver, meanwhile, has won five of its last six and looks like a team that finally understands its identity. Bo Nix continues to play within structure, avoiding the big mistakes that once hampered this offense. Even in games where the Broncos don't light up the scoreboard, their defense routinely dictates the terms.
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Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.833 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 |
|
29
|
0.167 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Nov 30, 2025 - NFL
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6/6 (100%)
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
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0/6 (0%)
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6/6 (100%)
Nov 30, 2025 - NFL
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1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
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1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 30, 2025 - NFL
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Denver Broncos against Las Vegas Raiders : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
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Denver Broncos - Las Vegas Raiders Key Points
- The Over is 0-6 in the Broncos’ last 6 games vs. AFC teams
- The Over is 1-5 in the last 6 games between AFC West teams
- The Broncos are 9-0 in their last 9 games
- The Raiders are 0-10 in their last 10 games vs. AFC West teams
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Our Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
The past two weeks have highlighted where these teams currently stand. For Las Vegas, Maxx Crosby remains the heartbeat of the defense, but he's been limited in practice and continues to play through injury. Offensively, Geno Smith's production has been a mixed bag—solid yardage totals offset by costly interceptions. Tight end Brock Bowers and wideout Tre Tucker have been the most consistent playmakers recently, but without reliable protection—and with the Raiders' starting center sidelined—the offense often struggles to function. Ashton Jeanty has provided brief sparks on the ground, though not enough to shift the load away from Smith.
Denver's recent performers tell a far brighter story. Bo Nix has protected the football over the last two weeks while efficiently attacking soft spots in coverage. Courtland Sutton and Troy Franklin continue to operate as reliable vertical threats, particularly in red-zone situations. The backfield is thinner with JK Dobbins out, but the rotation has still managed to keep defenses honest. Defensively, Nik Bonitto and Jonathon Cooper have been relentless off the edge, contributing to a pass rush that has topped 50 sacks on the season. With the Raiders' battered offensive line, that matchup looms large.
Denver holds the clear upper hand. Their defense is peaking, their offense is steady, and their recent form makes them the more trustworthy side. Las Vegas will need a near-perfect effort to stay tight for four quarters, especially with their injury concerns. Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos: Under 40.5 points.
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