Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/7/25 13:00
New Orleans Saints

Prediction:

 

New Orleans +8.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

A rematch of divisional foes takes place Sunday in Tampa. The New Orleans Saints (2-10) will take on the Tampa Buccaneers (7-5) and try to get one back after losing 23-3 at home back in late October. In the 1st game, Tampa led from start to finish despite being outgained in the game. The 4 turnovers that New Orleans committed made it nearly impossible for them to stay in that game.

Since that game, the Saints have gone just 1-3 and have been starting rookie Tyler Shough recently. Shough has been so-so with 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on the season, but overall, the Saints have only been averaging 15.2 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. They will need to find a way to put up more than 3 points as they did in the previous matchup to play spoiler here against the Bucs.

Tampa is finally starting to get a bit healthy. Chris Godwin has returned to action; Baker Mayfield remains a bit banged up, but Emeka Egbuka is at full strength, and Mike Evans could be returning soon. However, things have not gone great since their last game with the Saints. Tampa has gone just 1-3 with the lone win coming last week against an inferior Cardinals team. Tampa still holds a slim lead over the Panthers in the NFC South, but a loss here could change that.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.471 17 8 9
25 New Orleans Saints
0.353 17 6 11

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  17
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
34 :  7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
44 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  28
New England Patriots

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  17
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  28
New England Patriots

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  19
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25 :  31
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 :  27
New York Jets

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
Washington Commanders
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
34 :  7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
44 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
35 :  38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
7 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
34 :  10
New Orleans Saints

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
26 :  14
New Orleans Saints
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  25
New England Patriots

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
26 :  14
New York Giants

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
21 :  26
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  20
Arizona Cardinals
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
7 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
34 :  10
New Orleans Saints

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
26 :  14
New Orleans Saints

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
44 :  13
New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers against New Orleans Saints : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

80 %

New Orleans Saints

20 %

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
27 :  51
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 31, 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 :  23
New Orleans Saints

Dec 5, 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17 :  16
New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New Orleans Saints Key Points

  1. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.We fully expect the Bucs to win this game but the 8.5 point spread seems too high for a tough divisional game. We are already seeing over 70% of the public backing the big favorites here and that is more than enough to push us over to the road dog. We think New Orleans keeps this one a little bit closer by not turning the ball over 4 times like the previous meeting. Saints cover here on the road
  2. Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
  3. Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
  4. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS s favorites this season.

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

We fully expect the Bucs to win this game, but the 8.5-point spread seems too high for a tough divisional game. We are already seeing over 70% of the public backing the big favorites here, and that is more than enough to push us over to the road dog. We think New Orleans keeps this one a little bit closer by not turning the ball over 4 times like the previous meeting. The Saints cover here on the road.

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints: New Orleans +8.5

Prediction:

 

New Orleans +8.5

-110
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Picks